{"id":1531,"slug":"abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.02,"ref":0.0225},{"name":"No","p":0.98,"ref":0.9775}],"chance":0.02,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.0225,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2308,"state":[-9028.949097,-46.627848],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791346602,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 12:16 AM ET · World Day 869","resolves":1830315600,"resolvesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791346560,"p":[0.02,0.98],"r":[0.02,0.98]},{"at":1791346620,"p":[0.02,0.98],"r":[0.0255,0.9745]},{"at":1791347460,"p":[0.02,0.98],"r":[0.02,0.98]},{"at":1791350225,"p":[0.02,0.98],"r":[0.0225,0.9775]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":2,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":3,"spread":2,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":959,"people":0,"house":959,"total":28.77},{"price":4,"shares":688,"people":0,"house":688,"total":56.29},{"price":5,"shares":540,"people":0,"house":540,"total":83.29},{"price":6,"shares":445,"people":0,"house":445,"total":109.99},{"price":7,"shares":380,"people":0,"house":380,"total":136.59},{"price":8,"shares":333,"people":0,"house":333,"total":163.23}],"bids":[{"price":1,"shares":1623,"people":0,"house":1623,"total":16.23}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":98,"bestBid":97,"bestAsk":99,"spread":2,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":99,"shares":1623,"people":0,"house":1623,"total":1606.77}],"bids":[{"price":97,"shares":959,"people":0,"house":959,"total":930.23},{"price":96,"shares":688,"people":0,"house":688,"total":1590.71},{"price":95,"shares":540,"people":0,"house":540,"total":2103.71},{"price":94,"shares":445,"people":0,"house":445,"total":2522.01},{"price":93,"shares":380,"people":0,"house":380,"total":2875.41},{"price":92,"shares":333,"people":0,"house":333,"total":3181.77}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1509,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.204,"ref":0.204},{"name":"No","p":0.796,"ref":0.796}],"chance":0.204,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.204,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3117,"state":[-4954.893184,-711.162542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791344202,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1552,"slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","q":"Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.032,"ref":0.0315},{"name":"No","p":0.968,"ref":0.9685}],"chance":0.032,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","ref":0.0315,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1296,"state":[-4460.857112,-42.150056],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349002,"closes":1830315540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":707,"slug":"will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.805,"ref":0.775},{"name":"No","p":0.195,"ref":0.225}],"chance":0.805,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by","ref":0.775,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2554,"state":[-553.995806,-4175.16611],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262407,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":585,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.885,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.115,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.885,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.95,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3602,"state":[-440.047818,-7790.488989],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":573,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9615},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0385}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9615,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":140,"slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.245,"ref":0.24},{"name":"No","p":0.755,"ref":0.76}],"chance":0.245,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.24,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4361,"state":[-6133.733715,-1225.604667],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}