{"id":465,"slug":"acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-israel-during","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-israel-during","q":"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2879,"ref":0.2879},{"name":"No","p":0.7121,"ref":0.7121}],"chance":0.2879,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-ce","ref":0.2879,"b":1633,"state":[-2033.234447,-554.497188],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791243445,"closes":1798761540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 2,928","closesWorldDay":2928,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40966)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.\n\nMetaculus high-level description:\n\nThis question will resolve as Yes if, at any point before January 1, 2027, Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel.\n\nThis includes Netanyahu getting suspended, an acting Prime Minister being appointed, or any other temporary circumstance that removes his power, if it lasts for at least 14 consecutive days entirely within 2026.\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:37 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1799020740,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 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simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}