{"id":151,"slug":"bitcoin-above-90k-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/bitcoin-above-90k-before-2027","q":"Bitcoin above 90k before 2027?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/OnlySlides/bitcoin-above-90k-before-2027","ref":0.75,"b":1264,"state":[-363.63014,-1752.276072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232645,"closes":1798761540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 2,928","closesWorldDay":2928,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"About this market/account\n\nThe only way this account can make mana from trader bonuses. This account is dedicated to making interesting and cool markets. If you would like to support this cause donations will be appreciated.\n\nResolution criteria\n\nThis market resolves to YES if Bitcoin (BTC) trades or above $90,000.00 USD after market creation to before January 1, 2027, at 00:00 UTC. If Bitcoin does not reach this price at any point prior to the cutoff, the market will resolve to NO.\n\nThe primary source of truth for verification will be the intraday and historical pricing on Yahoo Finance (BTC-USD). Standard fallback sources include CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko.\n\nTo prevent resolution based on anomalies, the price must be verified across major global spot exchanges; short-lived data reporting glitches, API errors, or isolated flash spikes on a single illiquid exchange that do not reflect the broader global market price will not count toward a YES resolution.\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:37 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1799020740,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 3,000","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791232620,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791246060,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791248961,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":74,"bestAsk":76,"spread":2,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":76,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":51.68},{"price":77,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":106.35},{"price":78,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":162.51},{"price":79,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":221.76},{"price":80,"shares":78,"people":0,"house":78,"total":284.16},{"price":81,"shares":80,"people":0,"house":80,"total":348.96}],"bids":[{"price":74,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":49.58},{"price":73,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":96.3},{"price":72,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":142.38},{"price":71,"shares":62,"people":0,"house":62,"total":186.4},{"price":70,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":229.1},{"price":69,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":269.81}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":26,"spread":2,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":26,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":17.42},{"price":27,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":34.7},{"price":28,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":52.62},{"price":29,"shares":62,"people":0,"house":62,"total":70.6},{"price":30,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":88.9},{"price":31,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":107.19}],"bids":[{"price":24,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":16.32},{"price":23,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":32.65},{"price":22,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":48.49},{"price":21,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":64.24},{"price":20,"shares":78,"people":0,"house":78,"total":79.84},{"price":19,"shares":80,"people":0,"house":80,"total":95.04}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":48,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0635,"ref":0.0135},{"name":"No","p":0.9365,"ref":0.9865}],"chance":0.0635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1745,"trades":49,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-5-2026/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84k-on-october-5-2026","ref":0.0135,"b":2209,"state":[-4546.473167,1396.576657],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":89,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.8995,"ref":0.955},{"name":"No","p":0.1005,"ref":0.045}],"chance":0.8995,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1048,"trades":30,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-84k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.955,"b":1861,"state":[737.722576,-3341.685516],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":62,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0951,"ref":0.0445},{"name":"No","p":0.9049,"ref":0.9555}],"chance":0.0951,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":616,"trades":18,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-88k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0445,"b":2144,"state":[-4454.81539,374.307288],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":306,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-90-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-90-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0545,"ref":0.0135},{"name":"No","p":0.9455,"ref":0.9865}],"chance":0.0545,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":521,"trades":23,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-90k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0135,"b":2170,"state":[-5931.206103,261.101603],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791237805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1085,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.8915,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.1085,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":424,"trades":12,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.065,"b":3278,"state":[-6856.980334,47.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":60,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0652,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.9348,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.0652,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":53,"trades":2,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-december-31-2026-454-325-222-878-949-487-451-853-523-111","ref":0.055,"b":4921,"state":[-13382.977123,-278.3827],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}