{"id":350,"slug":"bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","q":"Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.105,"ref":0.105},{"name":"No","p":0.895,"ref":0.895}],"chance":0.105,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","ref":0.105,"b":1947,"state":[-4387.669145,-216.038847],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791239365,"closes":1798761540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 2,928","closesWorldDay":2928,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Yes if the Coinbase BTC-USD 1-minute candle low is ≤ $55,000 any time between (Jan 1, 2026 00:00 PT) through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT; otherwise No.\n\nSource: Coinbase (BTC-USD). \n\nPrimary source (API) Example:\n\nhttps://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\n\nRequired URL parameters:\n\nstart, ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g. 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)\n\nend, ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g. 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)\n\ngranularity, seconds per candle (e.g. 60 for 1-minute bars)\n\nResponse:\n\n[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]\n\ncurl -X GET \"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\"\n\nResolution: Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, or earlier upon trigger.\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 6:29 PM ET · World Day 839","resolves":1799020740,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 3,000","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791239340,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791253260,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791258127,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":10.5,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":11,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":11.11},{"price":12,"shares":191,"people":0,"house":191,"total":34.03},{"price":13,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":57.17},{"price":14,"shares":167,"people":0,"house":167,"total":80.55},{"price":15,"shares":157,"people":0,"house":157,"total":104.1},{"price":16,"shares":149,"people":0,"house":149,"total":127.94}],"bids":[{"price":10,"shares":106,"people":0,"house":106,"total":10.6},{"price":9,"shares":227,"people":0,"house":227,"total":31.03},{"price":8,"shares":251,"people":0,"house":251,"total":51.11},{"price":7,"shares":281,"people":0,"house":281,"total":70.78},{"price":6,"shares":321,"people":0,"house":321,"total":90.04},{"price":5,"shares":375,"people":0,"house":375,"total":108.79}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":89.5,"bestBid":89,"bestAsk":90,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":90,"shares":106,"people":0,"house":106,"total":95.4},{"price":91,"shares":227,"people":0,"house":227,"total":301.97},{"price":92,"shares":251,"people":0,"house":251,"total":532.89},{"price":93,"shares":281,"people":0,"house":281,"total":794.22},{"price":94,"shares":321,"people":0,"house":321,"total":1095.96},{"price":95,"shares":375,"people":0,"house":375,"total":1452.21}],"bids":[{"price":89,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":89.89},{"price":88,"shares":191,"people":0,"house":191,"total":257.97},{"price":87,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":412.83},{"price":86,"shares":167,"people":0,"house":167,"total":556.45},{"price":85,"shares":157,"people":0,"house":157,"total":689.9},{"price":84,"shares":149,"people":0,"house":149,"total":815.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":48,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0661,"ref":0.001},{"name":"No","p":0.9339,"ref":0.999}],"chance":0.0661,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2414,"trades":71,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-5-2026/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84k-on-october-5-2026","ref":0.001,"b":2209,"state":[-3789.473167,2059.576657],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":89,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9183,"ref":0.954},{"name":"No","p":0.0817,"ref":0.046}],"chance":0.9183,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1605,"trades":41,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-84k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.954,"b":1861,"state":[1333.722576,-3168.685516],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1346,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.8654,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.1346,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1690,"trades":40,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.065,"b":3278,"state":[-5059.980334,1039.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":62,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0936,"ref":0.0235},{"name":"No","p":0.9064,"ref":0.9765}],"chance":0.0936,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":937,"trades":31,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-88k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0235,"b":2144,"state":[-4181.81539,685.307288],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":306,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-90-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-90-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0468,"ref":0.0055},{"name":"No","p":0.9532,"ref":0.9945}],"chance":0.0468,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":676,"trades":40,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-90k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0055,"b":2170,"state":[-6124.206103,414.101603],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791237805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":60,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.068,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.932,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.068,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":68,"trades":3,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-december-31-2026-454-325-222-878-949-487-451-853-523-111","ref":0.055,"b":4921,"state":[-13157.977123,-278.3827],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}