{"id":1235,"slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-october-6-12-00pm-4-00pm-et","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/bitcoin-up-or-down-october-6-12-00pm-4-00pm-et","q":"Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Up","p":0.385,"ref":0.515},{"name":"Down","p":0.615,"ref":0.485}],"chance":0.385,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1791302400","ref":0.515,"b":1385,"state":[-1321.999043,-673.29422],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308202,"closes":1791316800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Down\".\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 1:36 PM ET · World Day 858","resolves":1791316800,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 4 PM ET · World Day 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Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1378,"ref":0.045},{"name":"No","p":0.8622,"ref":0.955}],"chance":0.1378,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1957,"trades":56,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-december-31-2026-454-325-222-878-949-487-451-853-523-111","ref":0.045,"b":4921,"state":[-8290.977123,733.6173],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.175,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.825,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.175,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":5514,"trades":156,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.065,"b":3278,"state":[-750.980334,4332.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1188,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-7","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-7","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 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October?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.7799,"ref":0.795},{"name":"No","p":0.2201,"ref":0.205}],"chance":0.7799,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":62,"trades":2,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026/will-bitcoin-reach-87pt5k-in-october-2026","ref":0.795,"b":3257,"state":[-747.198676,-4868.515442],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1793505600,"closesText":"Nov 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1191,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-7","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-7","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9315,"ref":0.936},{"name":"No","p":0.0685,"ref":0.064}],"chance":0.9315,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-7-2026/bitcoin-above-84k-on-october-7-2026","ref":0.936,"b":1643,"state":[-116.585783,-4404.75408],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791304242,"closes":1791388800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 12 PM ET · World Day 880","closesWorldDay":880,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}