{"id":349,"slug":"bundesliga-2027-champion-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/bundesliga-2027-champion-who-wins","q":"Bundesliga: 2027 Champion: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Bayern Munich","p":0.8048,"ref":0.829},{"name":"Borussia Dortmund","p":0.0627,"ref":0.0646},{"name":"SV Elversberg","p":0.0289,"ref":0.0328},{"name":"FC Augsburg","p":0.0241,"ref":0.0119},{"name":"Eintracht Frankfurt","p":0.0111,"ref":0.0119},{"name":"SC Freiburg","p":0.0106,"ref":0.0149},{"name":"Werder Bremen","p":0.0106,"ref":0.011},{"name":"VfB Stuttgart","p":0.0082,"ref":0.0084},{"name":"RB Leipzig","p":0.0072,"ref":0.0075},{"name":"Bayer Leverkusen","p":0.0067,"ref":0.007},{"name":"Other","p":0.0251,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8048,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-2027-champion-20260708164840303","ref":0.829,"b":5170,"state":[-1122.601016,-14321.840848,-18319.23257,-19261.835019,-23276.488861,-23506.304473,-23506.304473,-24839.280968,-25486.374417,-25843.067563,-19059.063932],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791239245,"closes":1813031940,"closesText":"Jun 14, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 6,892","closesWorldDay":6892,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.","rules":"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 6:27 PM ET · World Day 839","resolves":1813031940,"resolvesText":"Jun 14, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 6,892","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791239220,"p":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251],"r":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251]},{"at":1791239640,"p":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251],"r":[0.8251,0.0643,0.0291,0.0247,0.0114,0.0109,0.0109,0.0084,0.0074,0.007,0.001]},{"at":1791245280,"p":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251],"r":[0.8091,0.063,0.032,0.0116,0.0116,0.0145,0.0107,0.0082,0.0073,0.0068,0.0252]},{"at":1791245880,"p":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251],"r":[0.8292,0.0646,0.0328,0.0119,0.0119,0.0149,0.011,0.0084,0.0075,0.007,0.001]},{"at":1791252828,"p":[0.8048,0.0627,0.0289,0.0241,0.0111,0.0106,0.0106,0.0082,0.0072,0.0067,0.0251],"r":[0.829,0.0646,0.0328,0.0119,0.0119,0.0149,0.011,0.0084,0.0075,0.007,0.001]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Bayern Munich","o":0,"mid":80.48,"bestBid":80,"bestAsk":81,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":81,"shares":172,"people":0,"house":172,"total":139.32},{"price":82,"shares":343,"people":0,"house":343,"total":420.58},{"price":83,"shares":358,"people":0,"house":358,"total":717.72},{"price":84,"shares":376,"people":0,"house":376,"total":1033.56},{"price":85,"shares":395,"people":0,"house":395,"total":1369.31},{"price":86,"shares":417,"people":0,"house":417,"total":1727.93}],"bids":[{"price":80,"shares":157,"people":0,"house":157,"total":125.6},{"price":79,"shares":317,"people":0,"house":317,"total":376.03},{"price":78,"shares":307,"people":0,"house":307,"total":615.49},{"price":77,"shares":296,"people":0,"house":296,"total":843.41},{"price":76,"shares":288,"people":0,"house":288,"total":1062.29},{"price":75,"shares":279,"people":0,"house":279,"total":1271.54}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Borussia Dortmund","o":1,"mid":6.27,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":7,"shares":614,"people":0,"house":614,"total":42.98},{"price":8,"shares":746,"people":0,"house":746,"total":102.66},{"price":9,"shares":666,"people":0,"house":666,"total":162.6},{"price":10,"shares":602,"people":0,"house":602,"total":222.8},{"price":11,"shares":550,"people":0,"house":550,"total":283.3},{"price":12,"shares":508,"people":0,"house":508,"total":344.26}],"bids":[{"price":6,"shares":238,"people":0,"house":238,"total":14.28},{"price":5,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":64.13},{"price":4,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":112.45},{"price":3,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":158.68},{"price":2,"shares":2149,"people":0,"house":2149,"total":201.66},{"price":1,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":238.02}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"SV Elversberg","o":2,"mid":2.89,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":196,"people":0,"house":196,"total":5.88},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":67.52},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":127.92},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":187.74},{"price":7,"shares":852,"people":0,"house":852,"total":247.38},{"price":8,"shares":747,"people":0,"house":747,"total":307.14}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":1953,"people":0,"house":1953,"total":39.06},{"price":1,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":75.42}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"FC Augsburg","o":3,"mid":2.41,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":1164,"people":0,"house":1164,"total":34.92},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":96.56},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":156.96},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":216.78},{"price":7,"shares":853,"people":0,"house":853,"total":276.49},{"price":8,"shares":746,"people":0,"house":746,"total":336.17}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":985,"people":0,"house":985,"total":19.7},{"price":1,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":56.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Eintracht Frankfurt","o":4,"mid":1.11,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":2,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":2,"shares":3098,"people":0,"house":3098,"total":61.96},{"price":3,"shares":2149,"people":0,"house":2149,"total":126.43},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":188.07},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":248.47},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":308.29},{"price":7,"shares":853,"people":0,"house":853,"total":368}],"bids":[{"price":1,"shares":538,"people":0,"house":538,"total":5.38}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"SC Freiburg","o":5,"mid":1.06,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":2,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":2,"shares":3330,"people":0,"house":3330,"total":66.6},{"price":3,"shares":2150,"people":0,"house":2150,"total":131.1},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":192.74},{"price":5,"shares":1207,"people":0,"house":1207,"total":253.09},{"price":6,"shares":998,"people":0,"house":998,"total":312.97},{"price":7,"shares":852,"people":0,"house":852,"total":372.61}],"bids":[{"price":1,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":3.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Werder Bremen","o":6,"mid":1.06,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":2,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":2,"shares":3330,"people":0,"house":3330,"total":66.6},{"price":3,"shares":2150,"people":0,"house":2150,"total":131.1},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":192.74},{"price":5,"shares":1207,"people":0,"house":1207,"total":253.09},{"price":6,"shares":998,"people":0,"house":998,"total":312.97},{"price":7,"shares":852,"people":0,"house":852,"total":372.61}],"bids":[{"price":1,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":3.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"VfB Stuttgart","o":7,"mid":0.82,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":1040,"people":0,"house":1040,"total":10.4},{"price":2,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":83.12},{"price":3,"shares":2149,"people":0,"house":2149,"total":147.59},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":209.23},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":269.63},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":329.45}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"RB Leipzig","o":8,"mid":0.72,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":1692,"people":0,"house":1692,"total":16.92},{"price":2,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":89.64},{"price":3,"shares":2149,"people":0,"house":2149,"total":154.11},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":215.75},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":276.15},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":335.97}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Bayer Leverkusen","o":9,"mid":0.67,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":2051,"people":0,"house":2051,"total":20.51},{"price":2,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":93.23},{"price":3,"shares":2150,"people":0,"house":2150,"total":157.73},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":219.37},{"price":5,"shares":1207,"people":0,"house":1207,"total":279.72},{"price":6,"shares":998,"people":0,"house":998,"total":339.6}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Other","o":10,"mid":2.51,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":956,"people":0,"house":956,"total":28.68},{"price":4,"shares":1541,"people":0,"house":1541,"total":90.32},{"price":5,"shares":1208,"people":0,"house":1208,"total":150.72},{"price":6,"shares":997,"people":0,"house":997,"total":210.54},{"price":7,"shares":853,"people":0,"house":853,"total":270.25},{"price":8,"shares":746,"people":0,"house":746,"total":329.93}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":1193,"people":0,"house":1193,"total":23.86},{"price":1,"shares":3636,"people":0,"house":3636,"total":60.22}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Bayern Munich","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Borussia Dortmund","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"SV Elversberg","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"FC Augsburg","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Eintracht Frankfurt","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"SC Freiburg","o":5,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Werder Bremen","o":6,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"VfB Stuttgart","o":7,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"RB Leipzig","o":8,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Bayer Leverkusen","o":9,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Other","o":10,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":99,"slug":"cricket-world-cup-league-2-usa-vs-uae","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/cricket-world-cup-league-2-usa-vs-uae","q":"Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"USA","p":0.8427,"ref":0.999},{"name":"UAE","p":0.1573,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8427,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":4440,"trades":80,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/crint-usa-are-2026-10-05","ref":0.999,"b":1629,"state":[2432.598683,-301.76682],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791817200,"closesText":"Oct 12, 11 AM ET · World Day 999","closesWorldDay":999,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.918,"ref":0.9611},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.0686,"ref":0.0259},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0099,"ref":0.012},{"name":"Other","p":0.0035,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.918,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":596,"trades":14,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9611,"b":2845,"state":[166.392652,-7213.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":181,"slug":"india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","q":"India vs. Uruguay: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Uruguay","p":0.9206,"ref":0.9495},{"name":"Draw (India vs. Uruguay)","p":0.0675,"ref":0.0365},{"name":"India","p":0.0089,"ref":0.013},{"name":"Other","p":0.003,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.9206,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":602,"trades":7,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ind-ury-2026-10-06","ref":0.9495,"b":2035,"state":[433.74166,-4883.977146,-9008.653154,-11236.205398],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":206,"slug":"england-vs-czechia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/england-vs-czechia-who-wins","q":"England vs. Czechia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"England","p":0.8409,"ref":0.8836},{"name":"Draw (England vs. Czechia)","p":0.1271,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Czechia","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0305},{"name":"Other","p":0.0037,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8409,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":195,"trades":8,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-cze-2026-10-06","ref":0.8836,"b":2723,"state":[-275.937273,-5421.753059,-9515.622671,-15034.986873],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234205,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.8734,"ref":0.9232},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.0935,"ref":0.0454},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0294,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Other","p":0.0038,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8734,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":224,"trades":15,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9232,"b":2413,"state":[-174.817277,-5567.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":154,"slug":"uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","q":"UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Barcelona","p":0.2141,"ref":0.237},{"name":"Bayern Munich","p":0.1444,"ref":0.1598},{"name":"Arsenal","p":0.1345,"ref":0.1488},{"name":"Paris Saint-Germain","p":0.1245,"ref":0.1377},{"name":"Real Madrid","p":0.0946,"ref":0.1047},{"name":"Manchester City","p":0.0847,"ref":0.0936},{"name":"Liverpool","p":0.0448,"ref":0.0496},{"name":"Inter Milan","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0248},{"name":"Manchester United","p":0.0214,"ref":0.0237},{"name":"Atlético Madrid","p":0.0174,"ref":0.0193},{"name":"Other","p":0.0976,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.2141,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549","ref":0.237,"b":8112.5,"state":[-12502.24897,-15697.797488,-16277.508333,-16901.854779,-19128.22369,-20030.541655,-25190.000525,-30995.46807,-31181.970537,-32851.945327,-18876.001303],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232885,"closes":1813463940,"closesText":"Jun 19, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 7,012","closesWorldDay":7012,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}