{"id":230,"slug":"counter-strike-team-falcons-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-team-falcons-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","q":"Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Team Falcons","p":0.625,"ref":0.605},{"name":"Natus Vincere","p":0.375,"ref":0.395}],"chance":0.625,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-fal2-navi-2026-10-06","ref":0.605,"b":1455,"state":[-683.855281,-1427.106563],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234805,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Team Falcons and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Team Falcons\" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Natus Vincere\" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 5:13 PM ET · World Day 838","resolves":1791327600,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791234780,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.625,0.375]},{"at":1791234840,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.615,0.385]},{"at":1791235140,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.595,0.405]},{"at":1791236100,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.605,0.395]},{"at":1791249660,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.605,0.395]},{"at":1791252901,"p":[0.625,0.375],"r":[0.605,0.395]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Team Falcons","o":0,"mid":62.5,"bestBid":62,"bestAsk":63,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":63,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":19.53},{"price":64,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":59.85},{"price":65,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":100.8},{"price":66,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":143.7},{"price":67,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":187.25},{"price":68,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":232.13}],"bids":[{"price":62,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":19.22},{"price":61,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":56.43},{"price":60,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":93.03},{"price":59,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":129.02},{"price":58,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":163.82},{"price":57,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":197.45}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Natus Vincere","o":1,"mid":37.5,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":38,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":38,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":11.78},{"price":39,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":35.57},{"price":40,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":59.97},{"price":41,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":84.98},{"price":42,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":110.18},{"price":43,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":135.55}],"bids":[{"price":37,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":11.47},{"price":36,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":34.15},{"price":35,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":56.2},{"price":34,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":78.3},{"price":33,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":99.75},{"price":32,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":120.87}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Team Falcons","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Natus Vincere","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":65,"slug":"lol-maryville-university-vs-zeu5-esports-bo5-lcs-promotion-playoffs","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-maryville-university-vs-zeu5-esports-bo5-lcs-promotion-playoffs","q":"LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Maryville University","p":0.9346,"ref":0.999},{"name":"Zeu5 Esports","p":0.0654,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.9346,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":3733,"trades":50,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lol-mvu-z5-2026-10-05","ref":0.999,"b":1902,"state":[3604.717148,-1452.688149],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791255600,"closesText":"Oct 5, 11 PM ET · World Day 843","closesWorldDay":843,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":56,"slug":"lol-hanjin-brion-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-hanjin-brion-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","q":"LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"HANJIN BRION","p":0.7709,"ref":0.795},{"name":"Natus Vincere","p":0.2291,"ref":0.205}],"chance":0.7709,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":62,"trades":4,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lol-bro2-navi-2026-10-06","ref":0.795,"b":2044,"state":[-468.920508,-2949.219393],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":179,"slug":"lol-kabum-ilha-das-lendas-vs-9z-globant-bo5-cblol-promotion-playoffs","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-kabum-ilha-das-lendas-vs-9z-globant-bo5-cblol-promotion-playoffs","q":"LoL: KaBuM! 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Ilha das Lendas","p":0.8478,"ref":0.999},{"name":"9z Globant","p":0.1522,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8478,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":46,"trades":2,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kbm-9zg-2026-10-05","ref":0.999,"b":1375,"state":[-180.398989,-2542.154613],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791255600,"closesText":"Oct 5, 11 PM ET · World Day 843","closesWorldDay":843,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":496,"slug":"counter-strike-g2-vs-parivision-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-g2-vs-parivision-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","q":"Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"G2","p":0.565,"ref":0.575},{"name":"PARIVISION","p":0.435,"ref":0.425}],"chance":0.565,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-g2-prv-2026-10-06","ref":0.575,"b":1530,"state":[-873.522208,-1273.586149],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791245245,"closes":1791309600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":130,"slug":"lol-jd-gaming-vs-lgd-gaming-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-jd-gaming-vs-lgd-gaming-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group-stage","q":"LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"JD Gaming","p":0.535,"ref":0.525},{"name":"LGD Gaming","p":0.465,"ref":0.475}],"chance":0.535,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lol-jdg-lgd-2026-10-06","ref":0.525,"b":1398,"state":[-874.432968,-1070.473587],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":435,"slug":"counter-strike-legacy-vs-m80-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-legacy-vs-m80-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","q":"Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Legacy","p":0.565,"ref":0.565},{"name":"M80","p":0.435,"ref":0.435}],"chance":0.565,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-lgc-m80-2026-10-06","ref":0.565,"b":1334,"state":[-761.620017,-1110.433937],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791241645,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}