{"id":272,"slug":"croatia-vs-spain-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/croatia-vs-spain-who-wins","q":"Croatia vs. Spain: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Spain","p":0.7703,"ref":0.7902},{"name":"Draw (Croatia vs. Spain)","p":0.1423,"ref":0.1342},{"name":"Croatia","p":0.0834,"ref":0.0746},{"name":"Other","p":0.004,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.7703,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-hrv-esp-2026-10-06","ref":0.7902,"b":3285,"state":[-857.279537,-6405.480206,-8159.941172,-18138.244111],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791236605,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.","rules":"This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 5:43 PM ET · World Day 838","resolves":1791312300,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791236580,"p":[0.7703,0.1423,0.0834,0.004],"r":[0.7704,0.1423,0.0834,0.0039]},{"at":1791241680,"p":[0.7703,0.1423,0.0834,0.004],"r":[0.7803,0.1342,0.0845,0.001]},{"at":1791242160,"p":[0.7703,0.1423,0.0834,0.004],"r":[0.7903,0.1342,0.0746,0.001]},{"at":1791242880,"p":[0.7703,0.1423,0.0834,0.004],"r":[0.7903,0.1342,0.0746,0.001]},{"at":1791252725,"p":[0.7703,0.1423,0.0834,0.004],"r":[0.7902,0.1342,0.0746,0.001]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Spain","o":0,"mid":77.03,"bestBid":77,"bestAsk":78,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":78,"shares":183,"people":0,"house":183,"total":142.74},{"price":79,"shares":194,"people":0,"house":194,"total":296},{"price":80,"shares":202,"people":0,"house":202,"total":457.6},{"price":81,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":626.89},{"price":82,"shares":218,"people":0,"house":218,"total":805.65},{"price":83,"shares":228,"people":0,"house":228,"total":994.89}],"bids":[{"price":77,"shares":6,"people":0,"house":6,"total":4.62},{"price":76,"shares":182,"people":0,"house":182,"total":142.94},{"price":75,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":276.44},{"price":74,"shares":237,"people":64,"house":173,"total":451.82},{"price":73,"shares":169,"people":0,"house":169,"total":575.19},{"price":72,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":693.27}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[{"price":74,"shares":64}]}},{"outcome":"Draw (Croatia vs. Spain)","o":1,"mid":14.23,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":15,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":15,"shares":203,"people":0,"house":203,"total":30.45},{"price":16,"shares":251,"people":0,"house":251,"total":70.61},{"price":17,"shares":238,"people":0,"house":238,"total":111.07},{"price":18,"shares":228,"people":0,"house":228,"total":152.11},{"price":19,"shares":218,"people":0,"house":218,"total":193.53},{"price":20,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":235.33}],"bids":[{"price":14,"shares":62,"people":0,"house":62,"total":8.68},{"price":13,"shares":281,"people":0,"house":281,"total":45.21},{"price":12,"shares":301,"people":0,"house":301,"total":81.33},{"price":11,"shares":323,"people":0,"house":323,"total":116.86},{"price":10,"shares":350,"people":0,"house":350,"total":151.86},{"price":9,"shares":382,"people":0,"house":382,"total":186.24}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Croatia","o":2,"mid":8.34,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":274,"people":0,"house":274,"total":24.66},{"price":10,"shares":382,"people":0,"house":382,"total":62.86},{"price":11,"shares":350,"people":0,"house":350,"total":101.36},{"price":12,"shares":323,"people":0,"house":323,"total":140.12},{"price":13,"shares":300,"people":0,"house":300,"total":179.12},{"price":14,"shares":282,"people":0,"house":282,"total":218.6}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":149,"people":0,"house":149,"total":11.92},{"price":7,"shares":474,"people":0,"house":474,"total":45.1},{"price":6,"shares":542,"people":0,"house":542,"total":77.62},{"price":5,"shares":634,"people":0,"house":634,"total":109.32},{"price":4,"shares":767,"people":0,"house":767,"total":140},{"price":3,"shares":979,"people":0,"house":979,"total":169.37}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Other","o":3,"mid":0.4,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":3030,"people":0,"house":3030,"total":30.3},{"price":2,"shares":2310,"people":0,"house":2310,"total":76.5},{"price":3,"shares":1366,"people":0,"house":1366,"total":117.48},{"price":4,"shares":979,"people":0,"house":979,"total":156.64},{"price":5,"shares":768,"people":0,"house":768,"total":195.04},{"price":6,"shares":633,"people":0,"house":633,"total":233.02}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Spain","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Draw (Croatia vs. Spain)","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Croatia","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Other","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":99,"slug":"cricket-world-cup-league-2-usa-vs-uae","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/cricket-world-cup-league-2-usa-vs-uae","q":"Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"USA","p":0.8432,"ref":0.999},{"name":"UAE","p":0.1568,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8432,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":4435,"trades":78,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/crint-usa-are-2026-10-05","ref":0.999,"b":1629,"state":[2438.598683,-301.76682],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791817200,"closesText":"Oct 12, 11 AM ET · World Day 999","closesWorldDay":999,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.918,"ref":0.9611},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.0686,"ref":0.0259},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0099,"ref":0.012},{"name":"Other","p":0.0035,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.918,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":596,"trades":14,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9611,"b":2845,"state":[166.392652,-7213.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":181,"slug":"india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","q":"India vs. Uruguay: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Uruguay","p":0.9206,"ref":0.9495},{"name":"Draw (India vs. Uruguay)","p":0.0675,"ref":0.0365},{"name":"India","p":0.0089,"ref":0.013},{"name":"Other","p":0.003,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.9206,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":602,"trades":7,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ind-ury-2026-10-06","ref":0.9495,"b":2035,"state":[433.74166,-4883.977146,-9008.653154,-11236.205398],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":206,"slug":"england-vs-czechia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/england-vs-czechia-who-wins","q":"England vs. Czechia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"England","p":0.8409,"ref":0.8836},{"name":"Draw (England vs. Czechia)","p":0.1271,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Czechia","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0305},{"name":"Other","p":0.0037,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8409,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":195,"trades":8,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-cze-2026-10-06","ref":0.8836,"b":2723,"state":[-275.937273,-5421.753059,-9515.622671,-15034.986873],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234205,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.8733,"ref":0.9232},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.0935,"ref":0.0454},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0294,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Other","p":0.0038,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8733,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":224,"trades":14,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9232,"b":2413,"state":[-174.817277,-5565.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":154,"slug":"uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","q":"UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Barcelona","p":0.2141,"ref":0.237},{"name":"Bayern Munich","p":0.1444,"ref":0.1598},{"name":"Arsenal","p":0.1345,"ref":0.1488},{"name":"Paris Saint-Germain","p":0.1245,"ref":0.1377},{"name":"Real Madrid","p":0.0946,"ref":0.1047},{"name":"Manchester City","p":0.0847,"ref":0.0936},{"name":"Liverpool","p":0.0448,"ref":0.0496},{"name":"Inter Milan","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0248},{"name":"Manchester United","p":0.0214,"ref":0.0237},{"name":"Atlético Madrid","p":0.0174,"ref":0.0193},{"name":"Other","p":0.0976,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.2141,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549","ref":0.237,"b":8112.5,"state":[-12502.24897,-15697.797488,-16277.508333,-16901.854779,-19128.22369,-20030.541655,-25190.000525,-30995.46807,-31181.970537,-32851.945327,-18876.001303],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232885,"closes":1813463940,"closesText":"Jun 19, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 7,012","closesWorldDay":7012,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}