{"id":1384,"slug":"dana-whites-contender-series-roque-conceicao-vs-alexander-chavez-flyweight-main","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/dana-whites-contender-series-roque-conceicao-vs-alexander-chavez-flyweight-main","q":"Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card)","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Roque Conceição","p":0.505,"ref":0.465},{"name":"Alexander Chavez","p":0.495,"ref":0.535}],"chance":0.505,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-roq1-alecha-2026-10-06","ref":0.465,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1502,"state":[-1026.161668,-1056.20267],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791327042,"closes":1791331200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 PM ET · World Day 864","closesWorldDay":864,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market will resolve to \"Roque Conceição\" if Roque Conceição is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Chavez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled for October 6, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Alexander Chavez\" if Alexander Chavez is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 6:50 PM ET · World Day 863","resolves":1791345599,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 868","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791327000,"p":[0.505,0.495],"r":[0.505,0.495]},{"at":1791327060,"p":[0.505,0.495],"r":[0.495,0.505]},{"at":1791329160,"p":[0.505,0.495],"r":[0.475,0.525]},{"at":1791330360,"p":[0.505,0.495],"r":[0.465,0.535]},{"at":1791332525,"p":[0.505,0.495],"r":[0.465,0.535]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Roque Conceição","o":0,"mid":50.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Alexander Chavez","o":1,"mid":49.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Roque Conceição","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Alexander Chavez","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":229,"slug":"pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","q":"Pro Football: 2026-27 Return Yards Leader (Team): who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["nfl"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Houston Texans","p":0.0044,"ref":0.0674},{"name":"Cleveland Browns","p":0.0819,"ref":0.1551},{"name":"Cincinnati Bengals","p":0.0466,"ref":0.1131},{"name":"Tampa Bay Buccaneers","p":0.0418,"ref":0.1124},{"name":"Washington Commanders","p":0.0171,"ref":0.0863},{"name":"Green Bay Packers","p":0.1779,"ref":0.2268},{"name":"Arizona Cardinals","p":0.0013,"ref":0.0716},{"name":"Minnesota Vikings","p":0.0009,"ref":0.0646},{"name":"New England Patriots","p":0.0006,"ref":0.045},{"name":"Indianapolis Colts","p":0.0006,"ref":0.0569},{"name":"Other","p":0.6271,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.0044,"change24":-0.1668,"change7d":null,"vol":6784,"trades":196,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-20260720202833323","ref":0.0674,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1340,"state":[-1898.579785,2022.80243,1266.925169,1121.925169,-77.630446,3062.980744,-3539.344174,-3979.124423,-4623.245876,-4623.245876,4751.246919],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234685,"closes":1801025940,"closesText":"Jan 26, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,557","closesWorldDay":3557,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.838,"ref":0.9168},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.1467,"ref":0.0496},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0136,"ref":0.0326},{"name":"Other","p":0.0017,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.838,"change24":-0.0429,"change7d":null,"vol":2423,"trades":70,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9168,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2413,"state":[1583.182723,-2621.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":898,"slug":"ac-monza-vs-cagliari-calcio-exact-score-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/ac-monza-vs-cagliari-calcio-exact-score-who-wins","q":"AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - Exact Score: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0813},{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.3582,"ref":0.4298},{"name":"AC Monza 1 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0813},{"name":"AC Monza 2 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0813},{"name":"AC Monza 5 - 2 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0523},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0639},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 5 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0556},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 1 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0467},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0511},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 5 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0215,"ref":0.0556},{"name":"Other","p":0.4434,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.0222,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1840,"trades":27,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/sea-mon-cag-2026-10-19-exact-score","ref":0.0813,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1516.25,"state":[-5078.183297,-860.183297,-5078.183297,-5078.183297,-5078.183297,-5078.183297,-5078.183297,-5094.060406,-5094.060406,-5126.322261,-536.554352],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791278141,"closes":1792427400,"closesText":"Oct 19, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 1,169","closesWorldDay":1169,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1418,"slug":"lol-flyquest-vs-shopify-rebellion-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-flyquest-vs-shopify-rebellion-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","q":"LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}