{"id":583,"slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-6","q":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Up","p":0.565,"ref":0.845},{"name":"Down","p":0.435,"ref":0.155}],"chance":0.565,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.845,"b":1382,"state":[-789.024635,-1150.389581],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:01 in the ET timezone on Oct 5 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:01 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:01 in the ET timezone on Oct 5 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:01 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 11:13 PM ET · World Day 844","resolves":1791302400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791256380,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.565,0.435]},{"at":1791257580,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.525,0.475]},{"at":1791258420,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.49,0.51]},{"at":1791259620,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.555,0.445]},{"at":1791259860,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.585,0.415]},{"at":1791260460,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.605,0.395]},{"at":1791260820,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.615,0.385]},{"at":1791261060,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.595,0.405]},{"at":1791262260,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.575,0.425]},{"at":1791262860,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.6,0.4]},{"at":1791263340,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.64,0.36]},{"at":1791263580,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.63,0.37]},{"at":1791264180,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.595,0.405]},{"at":1791264780,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.61,0.39]},{"at":1791265380,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.595,0.405]},{"at":1791266580,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.485,0.515]},{"at":1791266940,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.47,0.53]},{"at":1791267180,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.46,0.54]},{"at":1791267780,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.47,0.53]},{"at":1791268140,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.46,0.54]},{"at":1791268380,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.445,0.555]},{"at":1791268980,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791269340,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.52,0.48]},{"at":1791269580,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.53,0.47]},{"at":1791270180,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.52,0.48]},{"at":1791270540,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.49,0.51]},{"at":1791270780,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.51,0.49]},{"at":1791271740,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.54,0.46]},{"at":1791272940,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.67,0.33]},{"at":1791274140,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.77,0.23]},{"at":1791275040,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.78,0.22]},{"at":1791275340,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.815,0.185]},{"at":1791275700,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.825,0.175]},{"at":1791276360,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.82,0.18]},{"at":1791276540,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.84,0.16]},{"at":1791277680,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.85,0.15]},{"at":1791277740,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.845,0.155]},{"at":1791277806,"p":[0.565,0.435],"r":[0.845,0.155]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Up","o":0,"mid":56.5,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":57,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":57,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":15.96},{"price":58,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":49.02},{"price":59,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":82.65},{"price":60,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":116.85},{"price":61,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":152.23},{"price":62,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":188.19}],"bids":[{"price":56,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":15.68},{"price":55,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":46.48},{"price":54,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":76.72},{"price":53,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":105.87},{"price":52,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":134.99},{"price":51,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":163.04}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Down","o":1,"mid":43.5,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":44,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":44,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":12.32},{"price":45,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":37.52},{"price":46,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":63.28},{"price":47,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":89.13},{"price":48,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":116.01},{"price":49,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":142.96}],"bids":[{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":12.04},{"price":42,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":35.98},{"price":41,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":59.35},{"price":40,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":82.15},{"price":39,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":104.77},{"price":38,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":126.81}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Up","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Down","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":141,"slug":"will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-above-2-800-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-above-2-800-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0365,"ref":0.0105},{"name":"No","p":0.9635,"ref":0.9895}],"chance":0.0365,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-6-2026/ethereum-above-2800-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0105,"b":1415,"state":[-4684.276871,-52.613649],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":402,"slug":"will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-above-2-900-on-october-7","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-above-2-900-on-october-7","q":"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 7?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0215,"ref":0.0095},{"name":"No","p":0.9785,"ref":0.9905}],"chance":0.0215,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-7-2026/ethereum-above-2900-on-october-7-2026","ref":0.0095,"b":1737,"state":[-6669.562971,-37.752813],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791240805,"closes":1791388800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 12 PM ET · World Day 880","closesWorldDay":880,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":497,"slug":"will-ethereum-dip-to-1-750-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-ethereum-dip-to-1-750-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.065,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.935,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.065,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027","ref":0.065,"b":3764,"state":[-10288.397186,-252.973734],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791245245,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":671,"slug":"will-ethereum-dip-to-2-300-in-october","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-ethereum-dip-to-2-300-in-october","q":"Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.185,"ref":0.17},{"name":"No","p":0.815,"ref":0.83}],"chance":0.185,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-2026/will-ethereum-dip-to-2300-in-october-2026","ref":0.17,"b":1461,"state":[-2465.290602,-298.872629],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791260007,"closes":1793505600,"closesText":"Nov 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":661,"slug":"will-ethereum-reach-2-900-october-5-11","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-ethereum-reach-2-900-october-5-11","q":"Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.175,"ref":0.175},{"name":"No","p":0.825,"ref":0.825}],"chance":0.175,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-october-5-11-2026/will-ethereum-reach-2900-october-5-11-2026","ref":0.175,"b":1205,"state":[-2100.278013,-231.808131],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791258807,"closes":1791777600,"closesText":"Oct 12, 12 AM ET · World Day 988","closesWorldDay":988,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":59,"slug":"will-ethereum-dip-to-2-100-in-october","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-ethereum-dip-to-2-100-in-october","q":"Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["ethereum","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.105,"ref":0.095},{"name":"No","p":0.895,"ref":0.905}],"chance":0.105,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-2026","ref":0.095,"b":3112,"state":[-7013.809819,-345.219017],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1793505600,"closesText":"Nov 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}