{"id":1369,"slug":"fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026","q":"FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0345,"ref":0.0335},{"name":"No","p":0.9655,"ref":0.9665}],"chance":0.0345,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026-20260717235625543","ref":0.0335,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2122,"state":[-7144.341016,-74.501674],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791323802,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify.\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. \n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives.\n\nThe following do not qualify:\n- Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;\n- Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocatio","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 5:56 PM ET · World Day 862","resolves":1798779540,"resolvesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791323760,"p":[0.0345,0.9655],"r":[0.0345,0.9655]},{"at":1791327076,"p":[0.0345,0.9655],"r":[0.0335,0.9665]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":3.45,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":4,"shares":326,"people":0,"house":326,"total":13.04},{"price":5,"shares":496,"people":0,"house":496,"total":37.84},{"price":6,"shares":409,"people":0,"house":409,"total":62.38},{"price":7,"shares":350,"people":0,"house":350,"total":86.88},{"price":8,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":111.36},{"price":9,"shares":273,"people":0,"house":273,"total":135.93}],"bids":[{"price":3,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":9.18},{"price":2,"shares":883,"people":0,"house":883,"total":26.84},{"price":1,"shares":1492,"people":0,"house":1492,"total":41.76}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":96.55,"bestBid":96,"bestAsk":97,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":97,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":296.82},{"price":98,"shares":883,"people":0,"house":883,"total":1162.16},{"price":99,"shares":1492,"people":0,"house":1492,"total":2639.24}],"bids":[{"price":96,"shares":326,"people":0,"house":326,"total":312.96},{"price":95,"shares":496,"people":0,"house":496,"total":784.16},{"price":94,"shares":409,"people":0,"house":409,"total":1168.62},{"price":93,"shares":350,"people":0,"house":350,"total":1494.12},{"price":92,"shares":306,"people":0,"house":306,"total":1775.64},{"price":91,"shares":273,"people":0,"house":273,"total":2024.07}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":13,"slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-15-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-15-2026","q":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2,"ref":0.125},{"name":"No","p":0.8,"ref":0.875}],"chance":0.2,"change24":0.0506,"change7d":null,"vol":4041,"trades":95,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-15-2026","ref":0.125,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4035,"state":[-2453.546621,3140.200831],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1792123140,"closesText":"Oct 15, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,084","closesWorldDay":1084,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":26,"slug":"us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15","q":"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.8085,"ref":0.865},{"name":"No","p":0.1915,"ref":0.135}],"chance":0.8085,"change24":0.0033,"change7d":null,"vol":4888,"trades":97,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15","ref":0.865,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2983,"state":[4168.675856,-126.974119],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1792123140,"closesText":"Oct 15, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,084","closesWorldDay":1084,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":11,"slug":"clarity-act-h-r-3633-signed-into-law-in-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/clarity-act-h-r-3633-signed-into-law-in-2026","q":"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1302,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.8698,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.1302,"change24":0.0758,"change7d":null,"vol":2297,"trades":102,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","ref":0.05,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":6064,"state":[-10725.825141,793.524649],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":98,"slug":"will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","q":"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0865,"ref":0.023},{"name":"No","p":0.9135,"ref":0.977}],"chance":0.0865,"change24":0.0505,"change7d":null,"vol":1471,"trades":86,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","ref":0.023,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":6328,"state":[-14717.91816,199.542951],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":19,"slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-2027","q":"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1271,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.8729,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.1271,"change24":0.0654,"change7d":null,"vol":757,"trades":51,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","ref":0.055,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":6143,"state":[-12184.292922,-347.511669],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1152,"slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/trump-out-as-president-before-2027","q":"Trump out as President before 2027?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["trump","world-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0907,"ref":0.037},{"name":"No","p":0.9093,"ref":0.963}],"chance":0.0907,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":326,"trades":10,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-before-2027","ref":0.037,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":5640,"state":[-13213.898624,-209.710942],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301002,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}