{"id":683,"slug":"high-quality-ai-generated-video-games-by-prompt-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/high-quality-ai-generated-video-games-by-prompt-before-2027","q":"High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2331,"ref":0.3049},{"name":"No","p":0.7669,"ref":0.6951}],"chance":0.2331,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/SneakySly/high-quality-aigenerated-video-game","ref":0.3049,"b":1340,"state":[-1951.267589,-355.682498],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791261687,"closes":1798790340,"closesText":"Jan 1, 2:59 AM ET · World Day 2,936","closesWorldDay":2936,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?\n\nExample:\n\nAn AI receiving the prompt “Create a complete, high-quality, rogue-like deckbuilding video game set in a dystopian future where humans and robots are at war.” should be able to handle all aspects of game creation from this prompt alone, resulting in a fully functional, high-quality video game.\n\nSpecifications:\n\nFor the purpose of this market:\n\nAI-Generated Video Game: Refers to a complete and functional video game created by an AI without human intervention in the creative process. This includes game design, mechanics, graphics, sound, and coding.\n\nHigh-Quality: The game should be comparable in quality and complexity to a mid to high-budget video game produced by humans in the same period. It should have a coherent plot, well-designed game mechanics, professional-level graphics and sound, and be largely free of bugs and glitches.\n\nFully-Functional: The game should be playable from start to finish, offering a complete gaming experience. Should be capable of making experiences that have playtimes comparable to human generated titles. \n\nConditions:\n\nAI Generation: The AI should develop the game autonomously, including game design, storyline development, character creation, world-building, coding, and testing. Similar to how Midjourney generates a completed image, this AI should generate a completed game. \n\nVerification: At least three reputable industry experts OR MYSELF must verify the AI's ability to handle game quality, functionality, and prompt robustness without human intervention. \n\nRelease: The AI doesn't need to publish the game to a store (ex: sell the game, create marketing copy, or deal with storefronts), we are just looking at creating the game. \n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 12:41 AM ET · World Day 845","resolves":1799049540,"resolvesText":"Jan 4, 2:59 AM ET · World Day 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$4.0T by December 31?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.074,"ref":0.067},{"name":"No","p":0.926,"ref":0.933}],"chance":0.074,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","ref":0.067,"b":3895,"state":[-10141.373274,-299.451668],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791260007,"closes":1799125140,"closesText":"Jan 4, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,029","closesWorldDay":3029,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":669,"slug":"will-oklahoma-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-june-30-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-oklahoma-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-june-30-2027","q":"Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}