{"id":456,"slug":"lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-who-wins","q":"Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner: who wins?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Wang Chung-ming","p":0.8667,"ref":0.8895},{"name":"Tsao Erh-yuan","p":0.1289,"ref":0.1095},{"name":"Other","p":0.0044,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8667,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600","ref":0.8895,"b":1000,"state":[-143.100844,-2048.804572,-5416.100402],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791242725,"closes":1795928340,"closesText":"Nov 28, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,141","closesWorldDay":2141,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.","rules":"Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:25 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1795928340,"resolvesText":"Nov 28, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,141","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791242700,"p":[0.8667,0.1289,0.0044],"r":[0.8667,0.1289,0.0044]},{"at":1791245520,"p":[0.8667,0.1289,0.0044],"r":[0.8886,0.1104,0.001]},{"at":1791256860,"p":[0.8667,0.1289,0.0044],"r":[0.8895,0.1095,0.001]},{"at":1791264229,"p":[0.8667,0.1289,0.0044],"r":[0.8895,0.1095,0.001]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Wang 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}