{"id":927,"slug":"manchester-united-fc-vs-tottenham-hotspur-fc-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/manchester-united-fc-vs-tottenham-hotspur-fc-who-wins","q":"Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Manchester United FC","p":0.5642,"ref":0.5659},{"name":"Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC)","p":0.2208,"ref":0.2215},{"name":"Tottenham Hotspur FC","p":0.211,"ref":0.2116},{"name":"Other","p":0.004,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.5642,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/epl-mun-tot-2026-10-10","ref":0.5659,"b":2087,"state":[-1194.351642,-3152.520378,-3247.400352,-11523.444584],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791281141,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Manchester United FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC.","rules":"This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Manchester United FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 6:05 AM ET · World Day 851","resolves":1791649800,"resolvesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791281100,"p":[0.5642,0.2208,0.211,0.004],"r":[0.5643,0.2208,0.211,0.0039]},{"at":1791286180,"p":[0.5642,0.2208,0.211,0.004],"r":[0.5659,0.2215,0.2116,0.001]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Manchester United FC","o":0,"mid":56.42,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":57,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":57,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":27.93},{"price":58,"shares":85,"people":0,"house":85,"total":77.23},{"price":59,"shares":86,"people":0,"house":86,"total":127.97},{"price":60,"shares":87,"people":0,"house":87,"total":180.17},{"price":61,"shares":87,"people":0,"house":87,"total":233.24},{"price":62,"shares":88,"people":0,"house":88,"total":287.8}],"bids":[{"price":56,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":20.16},{"price":55,"shares":84,"people":0,"house":84,"total":66.36},{"price":54,"shares":85,"people":0,"house":85,"total":112.26},{"price":53,"shares":83,"people":0,"house":83,"total":156.25},{"price":52,"shares":84,"people":0,"house":84,"total":199.93},{"price":51,"shares":84,"people":0,"house":84,"total":242.77}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC)","o":1,"mid":22.08,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":23,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":23,"shares":110,"people":0,"house":110,"total":25.3},{"price":24,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":53.14},{"price":25,"shares":113,"people":0,"house":113,"total":81.39},{"price":26,"shares":110,"people":0,"house":110,"total":109.99},{"price":27,"shares":107,"people":0,"house":107,"total":138.88},{"price":28,"shares":105,"people":0,"house":105,"total":168.28}],"bids":[{"price":22,"shares":10,"people":0,"house":10,"total":2.2},{"price":21,"shares":123,"people":0,"house":123,"total":28.03},{"price":20,"shares":128,"people":0,"house":128,"total":53.63},{"price":19,"shares":133,"people":0,"house":133,"total":78.9},{"price":18,"shares":139,"people":0,"house":139,"total":103.92},{"price":17,"shares":144,"people":0,"house":144,"total":128.4}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Tottenham Hotspur FC","o":2,"mid":21.1,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":22,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":22,"shares":111,"people":0,"house":111,"total":24.42},{"price":23,"shares":120,"people":0,"house":120,"total":52.02},{"price":24,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":79.86},{"price":25,"shares":113,"people":0,"house":113,"total":108.11},{"price":26,"shares":110,"people":0,"house":110,"total":136.71},{"price":27,"shares":107,"people":0,"house":107,"total":165.6}],"bids":[{"price":21,"shares":12,"people":0,"house":12,"total":2.52},{"price":20,"shares":128,"people":0,"house":128,"total":28.12},{"price":19,"shares":133,"people":0,"house":133,"total":53.39},{"price":18,"shares":139,"people":0,"house":139,"total":78.41},{"price":17,"shares":144,"people":0,"house":144,"total":102.89},{"price":16,"shares":152,"people":0,"house":152,"total":127.21}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Other","o":3,"mid":0.4,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":1925,"people":0,"house":1925,"total":19.25},{"price":2,"shares":1468,"people":0,"house":1468,"total":48.61},{"price":3,"shares":867,"people":0,"house":867,"total":74.62},{"price":4,"shares":622,"people":0,"house":622,"total":99.5},{"price":5,"shares":488,"people":0,"house":488,"total":123.9},{"price":6,"shares":403,"people":0,"house":403,"total":148.08}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Manchester United FC","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC)","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Tottenham Hotspur FC","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Other","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.8872,"ref":0.9596},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.104,"ref":0.027},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0065,"ref":0.0125},{"name":"Other","p":0.0023,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8872,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2121,"trades":69,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9596,"b":2845,"state":[1264.392652,-4833.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":206,"slug":"england-vs-czechia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/england-vs-czechia-who-wins","q":"England vs. Czechia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"England","p":0.8147,"ref":0.8837},{"name":"Draw (England vs. Czechia)","p":0.1624,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Czechia","p":0.0207,"ref":0.0305},{"name":"Other","p":0.0021,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8147,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1865,"trades":53,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-cze-2026-10-06","ref":0.8837,"b":2723,"state":[1134.062727,-3256.753059,-8868.622671,-15034.986873],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234205,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":181,"slug":"india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","q":"India vs. Uruguay: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Uruguay","p":0.9012,"ref":0.9467},{"name":"Draw (India vs. Uruguay)","p":0.0917,"ref":0.0359},{"name":"India","p":0.0054,"ref":0.0164},{"name":"Other","p":0.0018,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.9012,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1774,"trades":35,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ind-ury-2026-10-06","ref":0.9467,"b":2035,"state":[1420.74166,-3229.977146,-9008.653154,-11236.205398],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.845,"ref":0.9232},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.1229,"ref":0.0454},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0284,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Other","p":0.0036,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.845,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":360,"trades":23,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9232,"b":2413,"state":[-174.817277,-4826.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":673,"slug":"switzerland-vs-north-macedonia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/switzerland-vs-north-macedonia-who-wins","q":"Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Switzerland","p":0.8412,"ref":0.9032},{"name":"Draw (Switzerland vs. North Macedonia)","p":0.1325,"ref":0.0749},{"name":"North Macedonia","p":0.0226,"ref":0.021},{"name":"Other","p":0.0038,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8412,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":104,"trades":4,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-che-mac-2026-10-06","ref":0.9032,"b":1627,"state":[-177.228391,-3184.10742,-6064.966999,-8980.159655],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791260007,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":154,"slug":"uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-who-wins","q":"UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Barcelona","p":0.2141,"ref":0.2343},{"name":"Bayern Munich","p":0.1444,"ref":0.158},{"name":"Arsenal","p":0.1345,"ref":0.1472},{"name":"Paris Saint-Germain","p":0.1245,"ref":0.1362},{"name":"Real Madrid","p":0.0946,"ref":0.1145},{"name":"Manchester City","p":0.0847,"ref":0.0927},{"name":"Liverpool","p":0.0448,"ref":0.0491},{"name":"Inter Milan","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0245},{"name":"Manchester United","p":0.0214,"ref":0.0234},{"name":"Atlético Madrid","p":0.0174,"ref":0.019},{"name":"Other","p":0.0976,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.2141,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549","ref":0.2343,"b":8112.5,"state":[-12502.24897,-15697.797488,-16277.508333,-16901.854779,-19128.22369,-20030.541655,-25190.000525,-30995.46807,-31181.970537,-32851.945327,-18876.001303],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232885,"closes":1813463940,"closesText":"Jun 19, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 7,012","closesWorldDay":7012,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}