{"id":280,"slug":"next-premier-of-british-columbia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/next-premier-of-british-columbia-who-wins","q":"Next Premier of British Columbia: who wins?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"David Eby","p":0.5493,"ref":0.5504},{"name":"Lorne Doerkson","p":0.4466,"ref":0.4475},{"name":"Other","p":0.0041,"ref":0.0021}],"chance":0.5493,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-british-columbia","ref":0.5504,"b":2462,"state":[-1475.093899,-1984.532701,-13528.977912],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791236845,"closes":1792886340,"closesText":"Oct 24, 7:59 PM ET · World Day 1,296","closesWorldDay":1296,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.","rules":"The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 5:47 PM ET · World Day 838","resolves":1792886340,"resolvesText":"Oct 24, 7:59 PM ET · World Day 1,296","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791236820,"p":[0.5493,0.4466,0.0041],"r":[0.5493,0.4466,0.0041]},{"at":1791249411,"p":[0.5493,0.4466,0.0041],"r":[0.5504,0.4475,0.0021]}],"book":[{"outcome":"David 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}