{"id":980,"slug":"palermo-gianluca-cadenasso-vs-filippo-moroni","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/palermo-gianluca-cadenasso-vs-filippo-moroni","q":"Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gianluca Cadenasso","p":0.575,"ref":0.91},{"name":"Filippo Moroni","p":0.425,"ref":0.09}],"chance":0.575,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-cadenas-moroni-2026-10-06","ref":0.91,"b":1328,"state":[-734.895596,-1136.324594],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791286181,"closes":1791882000,"closesText":"Oct 13, 5 AM ET · World Day 1,017","closesWorldDay":1017,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Filippo Moroni in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Filippo Moroni.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Gianluca Cadenasso.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 7:29 AM ET · World Day 852","resolves":1791882000,"resolvesText":"Oct 13, 5 AM ET · World Day 1,017","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791286140,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.575,0.425]},{"at":1791286200,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.495,0.505]},{"at":1791287340,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.375,0.625]},{"at":1791287700,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.175,0.825]},{"at":1791288300,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.615,0.385]},{"at":1791288600,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.675,0.325]},{"at":1791289500,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.865,0.135]},{"at":1791290580,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.855,0.145]},{"at":1791290700,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.91,0.09]},{"at":1791290958,"p":[0.575,0.425],"r":[0.91,0.09]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Gianluca Cadenasso","o":0,"mid":57.5,"bestBid":57,"bestAsk":58,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":58,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":15.66},{"price":59,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":48.11},{"price":60,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":81.11},{"price":61,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":115.27},{"price":62,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":149.99},{"price":63,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":185.27}],"bids":[{"price":57,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":15.39},{"price":56,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":45.63},{"price":55,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":75.33},{"price":54,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":103.95},{"price":53,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":132.57},{"price":52,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":160.13}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Filippo Moroni","o":1,"mid":42.5,"bestBid":42,"bestAsk":43,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":43,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":11.61},{"price":44,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":35.37},{"price":45,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":59.67},{"price":46,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":84.05},{"price":47,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":109.43},{"price":48,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":134.87}],"bids":[{"price":42,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":11.34},{"price":41,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":33.89},{"price":40,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":55.89},{"price":39,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":77.73},{"price":38,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":99.01},{"price":37,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":119.73}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Gianluca Cadenasso","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Filippo Moroni","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.8909,"ref":0.9576},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.1009,"ref":0.0314},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0061,"ref":0.01},{"name":"Other","p":0.0021,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8909,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2314,"trades":71,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9576,"b":2845,"state":[1469.392652,-4727.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":206,"slug":"england-vs-czechia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/england-vs-czechia-who-wins","q":"England vs. Czechia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"England","p":0.7861,"ref":0.8841},{"name":"Draw (England vs. Czechia)","p":0.1918,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Czechia","p":0.02,"ref":0.03},{"name":"Other","p":0.0021,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.7861,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1963,"trades":56,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-cze-2026-10-06","ref":0.8841,"b":2723,"state":[1134.062727,-2706.753059,-8868.622671,-15034.986873],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234205,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":882,"slug":"dota-2-huligani-vs-cyberhero-bo3-pari-universe-closed-qualifier-playoffs","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/dota-2-huligani-vs-cyberhero-bo3-pari-universe-closed-qualifier-playoffs","q":"Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"HULIGANI","p":0.276,"ref":0.001},{"name":"CyberHero","p":0.724,"ref":0.999}],"chance":0.276,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":991,"trades":12,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-huliga-ch1-2026-10-06","ref":0.001,"b":1277,"state":[-652.324322,578.896735],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276941,"closes":1791295800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:10 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":181,"slug":"india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","q":"India vs. Uruguay: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Uruguay","p":0.8953,"ref":0.9468},{"name":"Draw (India vs. Uruguay)","p":0.0978,"ref":0.0353},{"name":"India","p":0.0052,"ref":0.0169},{"name":"Other","p":0.0017,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8953,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1850,"trades":39,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ind-ury-2026-10-06","ref":0.9468,"b":2035,"state":[1482.74166,-3023.977146,-9008.653154,-11236.205398],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":847,"slug":"counter-strike-just-players-vs-morrow-bo3-nodwin-clutch-series-play-in-group-a","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-just-players-vs-morrow-bo3-nodwin-clutch-series-play-in-group-a","q":"Counter-Strike: Just Players vs MORROW (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Just Players","p":0.7546,"ref":0.999},{"name":"MORROW","p":0.2454,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.7546,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":828,"trades":14,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-justpl-morrow-2026-10-06","ref":0.999,"b":1319,"state":[457.250482,-1024.241473],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791274181,"closes":1791295800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:10 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":229,"slug":"pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","q":"Pro Football: 2026-27 Return Yards Leader (Team): who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["nfl"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Houston Texans","p":0.1421,"ref":0.0864},{"name":"Cleveland Browns","p":0.0964,"ref":0.1803},{"name":"Cincinnati Bengals","p":0.051,"ref":0.131},{"name":"Tampa Bay Buccaneers","p":0.0497,"ref":0.1294},{"name":"Washington Commanders","p":0.0208,"ref":0.0994},{"name":"Green Bay Packers","p":0.01,"ref":0.084},{"name":"Arizona Cardinals","p":0.0163,"ref":0.0824},{"name":"Minnesota Vikings","p":0.0117,"ref":0.0752},{"name":"New England Patriots","p":0.0073,"ref":0.0655},{"name":"Indianapolis Colts","p":0.0073,"ref":0.0655},{"name":"Other","p":0.5874,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.1421,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1978,"trades":59,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-20260720202833323","ref":0.0864,"b":1340,"state":[-636.579785,-1156.19757,-2009.074831,-2043.074831,-3213.630446,-4189.019256,-3539.344174,-3979.124423,-4623.245876,-4623.245876,1265.246919],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234685,"closes":1801025940,"closesText":"Jan 26, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,557","closesWorldDay":3557,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}