{"id":585,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.885,"ref":0.91},{"name":"No","p":0.115,"ref":0.09}],"chance":0.885,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.91,"b":3602,"state":[-440.047818,-7790.488989],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 11:13 PM ET · World Day 844","resolves":1830315600,"resolvesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791256380,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.885,0.115]},{"at":1791256440,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.87,0.13]},{"at":1791257580,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.885,0.115]},{"at":1791258780,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.9,0.1]},{"at":1791259620,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.91,0.09]},{"at":1791259860,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.92,0.08]},{"at":1791260460,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.91,0.09]},{"at":1791263340,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.905,0.095]},{"at":1791264540,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.91,0.09]},{"at":1791268222,"p":[0.885,0.115],"r":[0.91,0.09]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":88.5,"bestBid":88,"bestAsk":89,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":89,"shares":180,"people":0,"house":180,"total":160.2},{"price":90,"shares":384,"people":0,"house":384,"total":505.8},{"price":91,"shares":419,"people":0,"house":419,"total":887.09},{"price":92,"shares":464,"people":0,"house":464,"total":1313.97},{"price":93,"shares":520,"people":0,"house":520,"total":1797.57},{"price":94,"shares":594,"people":0,"house":594,"total":2355.93}],"bids":[{"price":88,"shares":174,"people":0,"house":174,"total":153.12},{"price":87,"shares":329,"people":0,"house":329,"total":439.35},{"price":86,"shares":309,"people":0,"house":309,"total":705.09},{"price":85,"shares":290,"people":0,"house":290,"total":951.59},{"price":84,"shares":276,"people":0,"house":276,"total":1183.43},{"price":83,"shares":261,"people":0,"house":261,"total":1400.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":11.5,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":12,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":12,"shares":174,"people":0,"house":174,"total":20.88},{"price":13,"shares":329,"people":0,"house":329,"total":63.65},{"price":14,"shares":309,"people":0,"house":309,"total":106.91},{"price":15,"shares":290,"people":0,"house":290,"total":150.41},{"price":16,"shares":276,"people":0,"house":276,"total":194.57},{"price":17,"shares":261,"people":0,"house":261,"total":238.94}],"bids":[{"price":11,"shares":180,"people":0,"house":180,"total":19.8},{"price":10,"shares":384,"people":0,"house":384,"total":58.2},{"price":9,"shares":419,"people":0,"house":419,"total":95.91},{"price":8,"shares":464,"people":0,"house":464,"total":133.03},{"price":7,"shares":520,"people":0,"house":520,"total":169.43},{"price":6,"shares":594,"people":0,"house":594,"total":205.07}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":573,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9615},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0385}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9615,"b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":707,"slug":"will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.805,"ref":0.85},{"name":"No","p":0.195,"ref":0.15}],"chance":0.805,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by","ref":0.85,"b":2554,"state":[-553.995806,-4175.16611],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262407,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":140,"slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.245,"ref":0.245},{"name":"No","p":0.755,"ref":0.755}],"chance":0.245,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.245,"b":4361,"state":[-6133.733715,-1225.604667],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":62,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0752,"ref":0.019},{"name":"No","p":0.9248,"ref":0.981}],"chance":0.0752,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2636,"trades":43,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-88k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.019,"b":2144,"state":[-2951.81539,2427.307288],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":89,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9149,"ref":0.923},{"name":"No","p":0.0851,"ref":0.077}],"chance":0.9149,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1916,"trades":47,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-84k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.923,"b":1861,"state":[1637.722576,-2782.685516],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1511,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.8489,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.1511,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2878,"trades":80,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.065,"b":3278,"state":[-3830.980334,1826.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}