{"id":1509,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.204,"ref":0.204},{"name":"No","p":0.796,"ref":0.796}],"chance":0.204,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.204,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3117,"state":[-4954.893184,-711.162542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791344202,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 11:36 PM ET · World Day 868","resolves":1830315600,"resolvesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791344160,"p":[0.204,0.796],"r":[0.204,0.796]},{"at":1791350225,"p":[0.204,0.796],"r":[0.204,0.796]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":20.4,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":21,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":21,"shares":114,"people":0,"house":114,"total":23.94},{"price":22,"shares":185,"people":0,"house":185,"total":64.64},{"price":23,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":105.58},{"price":24,"shares":174,"people":0,"house":174,"total":147.34},{"price":25,"shares":168,"people":0,"house":168,"total":189.34},{"price":26,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":231.98}],"bids":[{"price":20,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":15.4},{"price":19,"shares":199,"people":0,"house":199,"total":53.21},{"price":18,"shares":207,"people":0,"house":207,"total":90.47},{"price":17,"shares":216,"people":0,"house":216,"total":127.19},{"price":16,"shares":226,"people":0,"house":226,"total":163.35},{"price":15,"shares":238,"people":0,"house":238,"total":199.05}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":79.6,"bestBid":79,"bestAsk":80,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":80,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":61.6},{"price":81,"shares":199,"people":0,"house":199,"total":222.79},{"price":82,"shares":207,"people":0,"house":207,"total":392.53},{"price":83,"shares":216,"people":0,"house":216,"total":571.81},{"price":84,"shares":226,"people":0,"house":226,"total":761.65},{"price":85,"shares":238,"people":0,"house":238,"total":963.95}],"bids":[{"price":79,"shares":114,"people":0,"house":114,"total":90.06},{"price":78,"shares":185,"people":0,"house":185,"total":234.36},{"price":77,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":371.42},{"price":76,"shares":174,"people":0,"house":174,"total":503.66},{"price":75,"shares":168,"people":0,"house":168,"total":629.66},{"price":74,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":751.02}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":585,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.885,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.115,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.885,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.95,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3602,"state":[-440.047818,-7790.488989],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":573,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9615},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0385}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9615,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1531,"slug":"abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.02,"ref":0.0225},{"name":"No","p":0.98,"ref":0.9775}],"chance":0.02,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.0225,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2308,"state":[-9028.949097,-46.627848],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791346602,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1552,"slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","q":"Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.032,"ref":0.0315},{"name":"No","p":0.968,"ref":0.9685}],"chance":0.032,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","ref":0.0315,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1296,"state":[-4460.857112,-42.150056],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349002,"closes":1830315540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":707,"slug":"will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.805,"ref":0.775},{"name":"No","p":0.195,"ref":0.225}],"chance":0.805,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by","ref":0.775,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2554,"state":[-553.995806,-4175.16611],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262407,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":140,"slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.245,"ref":0.24},{"name":"No","p":0.755,"ref":0.76}],"chance":0.245,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.24,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4361,"state":[-6133.733715,-1225.604667],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}