{"id":573,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9105},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0895}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9105,"b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 10:33 PM ET · World Day 843","resolves":1830315600,"resolvesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 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FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.885,"ref":0.87},{"name":"No","p":0.115,"ref":0.13}],"chance":0.885,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.87,"b":3602,"state":[-440.047818,-7790.488989],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":140,"slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.245,"ref":0.245},{"name":"No","p":0.755,"ref":0.755}],"chance":0.245,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.245,"b":4361,"state":[-6133.733715,-1225.604667],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":48,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84-000-on-october-5","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0703,"ref":0.001},{"name":"No","p":0.9297,"ref":0.999}],"chance":0.0703,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2278,"trades":67,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-5-2026/will-bitcoin-dip-to-84k-on-october-5-2026","ref":0.001,"b":2209,"state":[-3789.473167,1913.576657],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":89,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-84-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9183,"ref":0.9445},{"name":"No","p":0.0817,"ref":0.0555}],"chance":0.9183,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1605,"trades":41,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-84k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.9445,"b":1861,"state":[1333.722576,-3168.685516],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1396,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.8604,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.1396,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1353,"trades":36,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.065,"b":3278,"state":[-5259.980334,701.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":62,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0968,"ref":0.0235},{"name":"No","p":0.9032,"ref":0.9765}],"chance":0.0968,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":866,"trades":29,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-88k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0235,"b":2144,"state":[-4181.81539,607.307288],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}