{"id":140,"slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/puffpaw-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.245,"ref":0.24},{"name":"No","p":0.755,"ref":0.76}],"chance":0.245,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.24,"b":4361,"state":[-6133.733715,-1225.604667],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:33 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1798779600,"resolvesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791232380,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791232440,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.25,0.75]},{"at":1791241380,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791253260,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791264060,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791274860,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791280500,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.24,0.76]},{"at":1791280840,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.24,0.76]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":24.5,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":25,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":25,"shares":117,"people":0,"house":117,"total":29.25},{"price":26,"shares":230,"people":0,"house":230,"total":89.05},{"price":27,"shares":224,"people":0,"house":224,"total":149.53},{"price":28,"shares":218,"people":0,"house":218,"total":210.57},{"price":29,"shares":214,"people":0,"house":214,"total":272.63},{"price":30,"shares":210,"people":0,"house":210,"total":335.63}],"bids":[{"price":24,"shares":119,"people":0,"house":119,"total":28.56},{"price":23,"shares":242,"people":0,"house":242,"total":84.22},{"price":22,"shares":250,"people":0,"house":250,"total":139.22},{"price":21,"shares":259,"people":0,"house":259,"total":193.61},{"price":20,"shares":268,"people":0,"house":268,"total":247.21},{"price":19,"shares":277,"people":0,"house":277,"total":299.84}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":75.5,"bestBid":75,"bestAsk":76,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":76,"shares":119,"people":0,"house":119,"total":90.44},{"price":77,"shares":242,"people":0,"house":242,"total":276.78},{"price":78,"shares":250,"people":0,"house":250,"total":471.78},{"price":79,"shares":259,"people":0,"house":259,"total":676.39},{"price":80,"shares":268,"people":0,"house":268,"total":890.79},{"price":81,"shares":277,"people":0,"house":277,"total":1115.16}],"bids":[{"price":75,"shares":117,"people":0,"house":117,"total":87.75},{"price":74,"shares":230,"people":0,"house":230,"total":257.95},{"price":73,"shares":224,"people":0,"house":224,"total":421.47},{"price":72,"shares":218,"people":0,"house":218,"total":578.43},{"price":71,"shares":214,"people":0,"house":214,"total":730.37},{"price":70,"shares":210,"people":0,"house":210,"total":877.37}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":573,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9565},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0435}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9565,"b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":707,"slug":"will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.805,"ref":0.84},{"name":"No","p":0.195,"ref":0.16}],"chance":0.805,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by","ref":0.84,"b":2554,"state":[-553.995806,-4175.16611],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262407,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":585,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.885,"ref":0.935},{"name":"No","p":0.115,"ref":0.065}],"chance":0.885,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.935,"b":3602,"state":[-440.047818,-7790.488989],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":811,"slug":"w15-islamabad-main-draw-completed-match-suzuna-oigawa-vs-jeong-moon","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/w15-islamabad-main-draw-completed-match-suzuna-oigawa-vs-jeong-moon","q":"W15 Islamabad, Main Draw: Completed Match: suzuna oigawa vs Jeong Moon","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.54,"ref":0.51},{"name":"No","p":0.46,"ref":0.49}],"chance":0.54,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/itf-oigawa1-moon1-2026-10-07","ref":0.51,"b":1215,"state":[-748.666159,-943.482479],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791272141,"closes":1791954000,"closesText":"Oct 14, 1 AM ET · World Day 1,037","closesWorldDay":1037,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":62,"slug":"will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-88-000-on-october-6","q":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1077,"ref":0.0355},{"name":"No","p":0.8923,"ref":0.9645}],"chance":0.1077,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":3040,"trades":59,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-above-88k-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0355,"b":2144,"state":[-1831.81539,2702.307288],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":11,"slug":"clarity-act-h-r-3633-signed-into-law-in-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/clarity-act-h-r-3633-signed-into-law-in-2026","q":"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["trump"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1237,"ref":0.0485},{"name":"No","p":0.8763,"ref":0.9515}],"chance":0.1237,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1621,"trades":57,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","ref":0.0485,"b":6064,"state":[-11624.825141,246.524649],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}