{"id":613,"slug":"rfc-1-5-method-circuit-breaker-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-1-5-method-circuit-breaker-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 1 main event: Circuit Breaker vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3942},{"name":"Decision","p":0.375,"ref":0.375}],"chance":0.2019,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/5","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-1119.907923,-2482.045027,-651.573183,-686.580477],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791257667,"closes":1791261360,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:36 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"resolved","winner":"Decision","resolved":1791261987,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 1 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Circuit Breaker (technician) meets Slag Heap Sam (tank).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Circuit Breaker and Slag Heap Sam (RFC 1 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/5)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 11:34 PM ET · World Day 844","resolves":1791261960,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 12:46 AM ET · World Day 845","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/5","winner":"Circuit Breaker","method":"Decision","round":3,"first":"Right hip","read":1791261987},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791257640,"p":[0.2019,0.0288,0.3942,0.375],"r":[0.2019,0.0288,0.3942,0.375]},{"at":1791261987,"p":[0,0,0,1],"r":[0.2019,0.0288,0.3942,0.375]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":20.19,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":2.88,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":39.42,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":37.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":860,"slug":"rfc-8-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-8-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 8, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3438,"ref":0.3365},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0465,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.158,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Decision","p":0.4517,"ref":0.4519}],"chance":0.3438,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":23,"trades":1,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/36","ref":0.3365,"b":700,"state":[-723.431091,-2124.467091,-1267.824289,-532.409887],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276521,"closes":1791283680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6:48 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":907,"slug":"rfc-9-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-9-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 9, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2843,"ref":0.2451},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.7157,"ref":0.7549}],"chance":0.2843,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/41","ref":0.2451,"b":700,"state":[-880.373888,-234.15936],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791287280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:48 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":908,"slug":"rfc-9-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-9-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 9, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.125,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.3173,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/41","ref":0.3173,"b":700,"state":[-803.518336,-2124.467091,-1455.609079,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791287280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:48 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":909,"slug":"rfc-9-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-9-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 9, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1442,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.5096,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/41","ref":0.1635,"b":700,"state":[-1267.824289,-1355.438489,-1189.966344,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791287280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:48 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":910,"slug":"rfc-9-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-9-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 9, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.066},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3868,"ref":0.3491},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.1415,"ref":0.1415}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/41","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-2137.800827,-664.906919,-816.852073,-1726.350162,-1368.772225],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791287280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:48 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":911,"slug":"rfc-9-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-9-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 9, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.6765,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.3235,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6765,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/42","ref":0.6765,"b":700,"state":[-273.606416,-789.925676],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}