{"id":942,"slug":"rfc-10-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 10, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.066,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.1038,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.4811},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283}],"chance":0.066,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46","ref":0.066,"b":700,"state":[-1902.270262,-1585.880675,-540.133157,-957.32156,-1726.350162,-2495.378764],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791290880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 10, fight 1 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Big Bertha 9000 (heavyweight) meets Gearbox Gus (grinder).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Big Bertha 9000 and Gearbox Gus (RFC 10, fight 1), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 6:48 AM ET · World Day 851","resolves":1791291480,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 8:58 AM ET · World Day 853","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791283680,"p":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283],"r":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283]},{"at":1791284280,"p":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283],"r":[0.066,0.0849,0.4811,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283]},{"at":1791284640,"p":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283],"r":[0.1038,0.0849,0.4434,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283]},{"at":1791287340,"p":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283],"r":[0.066,0.0849,0.4811,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283]},{"at":1791287965,"p":[0.066,0.1038,0.4623,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283],"r":[0.066,0.0849,0.4811,0.2547,0.0849,0.0283]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":6.6,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":7,"shares":44,"people":0,"house":44,"total":3.08},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":11.16},{"price":9,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":19.26},{"price":10,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":27.36},{"price":11,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":35.61},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":43.89}],"bids":[{"price":6,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":4.32},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":11.07},{"price":4,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.59},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":23.86},{"price":2,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":29.68},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":34.6}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":10.38,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":11,"shares":46,"people":0,"house":46,"total":5.06},{"price":12,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":13.22},{"price":13,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":21.67},{"price":14,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":29.93},{"price":15,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":38.48},{"price":16,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":46.96}],"bids":[{"price":10,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":2.9},{"price":9,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":10.19},{"price":8,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":17.39},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":24.46},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":31.42},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":38.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":46.23,"bestBid":46,"bestAsk":47,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":47,"shares":22,"people":0,"house":22,"total":10.34},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":23.78},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":37.5},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":51.5},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":65.78},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":80.34}],"bids":[{"price":46,"shares":6,"people":0,"house":6,"total":2.76},{"price":45,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":15.81},{"price":44,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":28.13},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":40.17},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":52.35},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":64.24}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":25.47,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":26,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":26,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":4.94},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":14.66},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":24.46},{"price":29,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":34.61},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":44.51},{"price":31,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":54.74}],"bids":[{"price":25,"shares":18,"people":0,"house":18,"total":4.5},{"price":24,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":13.38},{"price":23,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":22.35},{"price":22,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":31.15},{"price":21,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":39.97},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":48.57}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":8.49,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":4.05},{"price":10,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":12.15},{"price":11,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":20.4},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":28.68},{"price":13,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":37},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":45.4}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":3.6},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":10.67},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":17.63},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":24.38},{"price":4,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":30.9},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":37.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":2.83,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":1.26},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.62},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.77},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.87},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.99},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":42.07}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":249,"people":0,"house":249,"total":4.98},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":9.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":988,"slug":"rfc-11-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.7157,"ref":0.7353},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2843,"ref":0.2647}],"chance":0.7157,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.7353,"b":700,"state":[-234.15936,-880.373888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":989,"slug":"rfc-11-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.125,"ref":0.0673},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3942,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1455.609079,-1119.907923,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":990,"slug":"rfc-11-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.3942,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1455.609079,-1119.907923,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":991,"slug":"rfc-11-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.066,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.2736,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.5189},{"name":"Another part","p":0.066,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.1226,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.066,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-1902.270262,-3264.407366,-907.300285,-540.133157,-1902.270262,-1468.942816],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":992,"slug":"rfc-11-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 11, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.6176,"ref":0.6176},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.3824,"ref":0.3824}],"chance":0.6176,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/52","ref":0.6176,"b":700,"state":[-337.286661,-672.987817],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":993,"slug":"rfc-11-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 11, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.375,"ref":0.375},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0673,"ref":0.0673},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3942}],"chance":0.375,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/52","ref":0.375,"b":700,"state":[-686.580477,-1888.936525,-1267.824289,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}