{"id":955,"slug":"rfc-10-5-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-5-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 10 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.4804,"ref":0.4804},{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.5196,"ref":0.5196}],"chance":0.4804,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/50","ref":0.4804,"b":700,"state":[-513.206761,-458.27663],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791293760,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:36 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 10 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Rivet Rodriguez (pressure boxer) meets Sprocket Sally (kicker).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Rivet Rodriguez and Sprocket Sally (RFC 10 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/50)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 6:48 AM ET · World Day 851","resolves":1791294360,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 9:46 AM ET · World Day 854","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791283680,"p":[0.4804,0.5196],"r":[0.4804,0.5196]},{"at":1791286080,"p":[0.4804,0.5196],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791289440,"p":[0.4804,0.5196],"r":[0.4804,0.5196]},{"at":1791290821,"p":[0.4804,0.5196],"r":[0.4804,0.5196]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Rivet Rodriguez","o":0,"mid":48.04,"bestBid":48,"bestAsk":49,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":49,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":13.23},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":27.23},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":41.51},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":56.07},{"price":53,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":70.91},{"price":54,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":86.03}],"bids":[{"price":48,"shares":1,"people":0,"house":1,"total":0.48},{"price":47,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":13.64},{"price":46,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":26.52},{"price":45,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":39.57},{"price":44,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":51.89},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":63.93}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Sprocket Sally","o":1,"mid":51.96,"bestBid":51,"bestAsk":52,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":52,"shares":1,"people":0,"house":1,"total":0.52},{"price":53,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":15.36},{"price":54,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":30.48},{"price":55,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":46.43},{"price":56,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":62.11},{"price":57,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":78.07}],"bids":[{"price":51,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":13.77},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":27.77},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":41.49},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":54.93},{"price":47,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":68.09},{"price":46,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":80.97}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Rivet Rodriguez","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Sprocket Sally","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":988,"slug":"rfc-11-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.7157,"ref":0.7353},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2843,"ref":0.2647}],"chance":0.7157,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.7353,"b":700,"state":[-234.15936,-880.373888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":989,"slug":"rfc-11-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.125,"ref":0.0673},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3942,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1455.609079,-1119.907923,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":990,"slug":"rfc-11-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.3942,"ref":0.4712}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1455.609079,-1119.907923,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":991,"slug":"rfc-11-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 11, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Slag Heap Sam, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.066,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.2736,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.5189},{"name":"Another part","p":0.066,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.1226,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.066,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/51","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-1902.270262,-3264.407366,-907.300285,-540.133157,-1902.270262,-1468.942816],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791294480,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":992,"slug":"rfc-11-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 11, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.6176,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.3824,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.6176,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/52","ref":0.6373,"b":700,"state":[-337.286661,-672.987817],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":993,"slug":"rfc-11-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 11, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.375,"ref":0.3558},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0673,"ref":0.0673},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3558}],"chance":0.375,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/52","ref":0.3558,"b":700,"state":[-686.580477,-1888.936525,-1267.824289,-651.573183],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}