{"id":1007,"slug":"rfc-11-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-11-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 11 main event: Sprocket Sally vs Ironjaw Ike, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"Head","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.5943,"ref":0.5943},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/55","ref":0.0094,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-3264.407366,-957.32156,-364.213057,-2137.800827,-1726.350162],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791287321,"closes":1791297360,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:36 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 11 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Sprocket Sally (kicker) meets Ironjaw Ike (brawler).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Sprocket Sally and Ironjaw Ike (RFC 11 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/55)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 7:48 AM ET · World Day 852","resolves":1791297960,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 10:46 AM ET · World Day 855","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791287280,"p":[0.0094,0.0094,0.2547,0.5943,0.0472,0.0849],"r":[0.0094,0.0094,0.2547,0.5943,0.0472,0.0849]},{"at":1791294065,"p":[0.0094,0.0094,0.2547,0.5943,0.0472,0.0849],"r":[0.0094,0.0094,0.2547,0.5943,0.0472,0.0849]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":25.47,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":26,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":26,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":4.94},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":14.66},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":24.46},{"price":29,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":34.61},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":44.51},{"price":31,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":54.74}],"bids":[{"price":25,"shares":18,"people":0,"house":18,"total":4.5},{"price":24,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":13.38},{"price":23,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":22.35},{"price":22,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":31.15},{"price":21,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":39.97},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":48.57}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":59.43,"bestBid":59,"bestAsk":60,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":60,"shares":16,"people":0,"house":16,"total":9.6},{"price":61,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":27.9},{"price":62,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":45.88},{"price":63,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":64.78},{"price":64,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":83.98},{"price":65,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":104.13}],"bids":[{"price":59,"shares":13,"people":0,"house":13,"total":7.67},{"price":58,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":23.91},{"price":57,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":40.44},{"price":56,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":56.68},{"price":55,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":72.08},{"price":54,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":87.2}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":4.72,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":5,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":2.15},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":10.25},{"price":7,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":18.3},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":26.38},{"price":9,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":34.48},{"price":10,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":42.68}],"bids":[{"price":4,"shares":121,"people":0,"house":121,"total":4.84},{"price":3,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":11.08},{"price":2,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":16.9},{"price":1,"shares":493,"people":0,"house":493,"total":21.83}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":8.49,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":4.05},{"price":10,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":12.15},{"price":11,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":20.4},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":28.68},{"price":13,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":37},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":45.4}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":3.6},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":10.67},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":17.63},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":24.38},{"price":4,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":30.9},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":37.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1027,"slug":"rfc-12-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2451,"ref":0.3039},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.7549,"ref":0.6961}],"chance":0.2451,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.3039,"b":700,"state":[-984.267892,-196.817174],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1028,"slug":"rfc-12-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.7788,"ref":0.7788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"Decision","p":0.125,"ref":0.125}],"chance":0.7788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.7788,"b":700,"state":[-174.959221,-3251.073629,-1713.016425,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1029,"slug":"rfc-12-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.4904,"ref":0.4519},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.125,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.125,"ref":0.125}],"chance":0.4904,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.4519,"b":700,"state":[-498.795686,-943.987823,-1455.609079,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1030,"slug":"rfc-12-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3868,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.217,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Another part","p":0.2736,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-1585.880675,-664.906919,-1069.561415,-907.300285,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1031,"slug":"rfc-12-2-ml-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-2-ml-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 12, fight 2: Lady Volt vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.9118,"ref":0.9118},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.0882,"ref":0.0882}],"chance":0.9118,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57","ref":0.9118,"b":700,"state":[-64.661324,-1699.423765],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1032,"slug":"rfc-12-2-method-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-2-method-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 12, fight 2: Lady Volt vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.0673,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3558,"ref":0.3558},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3558,"ref":0.3558}],"chance":0.0673,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57","ref":0.0865,"b":700,"state":[-1888.936525,-1056.227678,-723.431091,-723.431091],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}