{"id":1031,"slug":"rfc-12-2-ml-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-2-ml-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 12, fight 2: Lady Volt vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.9118,"ref":0.9118},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.0882,"ref":0.0882}],"chance":0.9118,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57","ref":0.9118,"b":700,"state":[-64.661324,-1699.423765],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 12, fight 2 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets Gearbox Gus (grinder).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and Gearbox Gus (RFC 12, fight 2), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","resolves":1791299400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 11:10 AM ET · World Day 856","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791290880,"p":[0.9118,0.0882],"r":[0.9118,0.0882]},{"at":1791295644,"p":[0.9118,0.0882],"r":[0.9118,0.0882]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":0,"mid":91.18,"bestBid":91,"bestAsk":92,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":92,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":69},{"price":93,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":162.93},{"price":94,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":271.03},{"price":95,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":399.28},{"price":96,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":556.72},{"price":97,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":759.45}],"bids":[{"price":91,"shares":15,"people":0,"house":15,"total":13.65},{"price":90,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":87.45},{"price":89,"shares":74,"people":0,"house":74,"total":153.31},{"price":88,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":214.03},{"price":87,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":269.71},{"price":86,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":321.31}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Gearbox Gus","o":1,"mid":8.82,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":15,"people":0,"house":15,"total":1.35},{"price":10,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":9.55},{"price":11,"shares":74,"people":0,"house":74,"total":17.69},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":25.97},{"price":13,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":34.29},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":42.69}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":6},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":13.07},{"price":6,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":19.97},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":26.72},{"price":4,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":33.28},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":39.55}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Gearbox Gus","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1065,"slug":"rfc-13-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.5784,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.4216,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.5784,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.6373,"b":700,"state":[-383.204759,-604.640888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1066,"slug":"rfc-13-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5481,"ref":0.625},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2596,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635}],"chance":0.5481,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.625,"b":700,"state":[-420.937742,-2482.045027,-943.987823,-1267.824289],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1067,"slug":"rfc-13-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.375,"ref":0.375},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2981,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635}],"chance":0.375,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.375,"b":700,"state":[-686.580477,-847.282586,-1267.824289,-1267.824289],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1068,"slug":"rfc-13-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4057,"ref":0.4057},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2925,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1981,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-2137.800827,-631.567285,-860.616323,-1133.241659,-2495.378764],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1069,"slug":"rfc-13-2-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-2-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 13, fight 2: Gearbox Gus vs Tin Pan Tommy, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.1863,"ref":0.1863},{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.8137,"ref":0.8137}],"chance":0.1863,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62","ref":0.1863,"b":700,"state":[-1176.373684,-144.292544],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1070,"slug":"rfc-13-2-method-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-2-method-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 13, fight 2: Gearbox Gus vs Tin Pan Tommy, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.125,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5673,"ref":0.5673}],"chance":0.2019,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-1119.907923,-1572.546938,-1455.609079,-396.797419],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}