{"id":1042,"slug":"rfc-12-4-first-ironjaw-ike-vs-the-toaster","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-4-first-ironjaw-ike-vs-the-toaster","q":"RFC 12, fight 4: Ironjaw Ike vs The Toaster, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"Head","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4434,"ref":0.4623},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3302,"ref":0.3113},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1226},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/59","ref":0.0094,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-1726.350162,-569.304045,-775.663723,-1468.942816,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791300240,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:24 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 12, fight 4 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Ironjaw Ike (brawler) meets The Toaster (power puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Ironjaw Ike and The Toaster (RFC 12, fight 4), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/59)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","resolves":1791300840,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 11:34 AM ET · World Day 856","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791290880,"p":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4434,0.3302,0.1226,0.0094],"r":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4434,0.3302,0.1226,0.0094]},{"at":1791293400,"p":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4434,0.3302,0.1226,0.0094],"r":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4623,0.3113,0.1226,0.0094]},{"at":1791295660,"p":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4434,0.3302,0.1226,0.0094],"r":[0.0094,0.0849,0.4623,0.3113,0.1226,0.0094]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":8.49,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":4.05},{"price":10,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":12.15},{"price":11,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":20.4},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":28.68},{"price":13,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":37},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":45.4}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":3.6},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":10.67},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":17.63},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":24.38},{"price":4,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":30.9},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":37.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":44.34,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":45,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":45,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":8.55},{"price":46,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":21.43},{"price":47,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":34.59},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":48.03},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":61.75},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":75.75}],"bids":[{"price":44,"shares":10,"people":0,"house":10,"total":4.4},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":16.44},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":28.62},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":40.51},{"price":40,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":52.11},{"price":39,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":63.42}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":33.02,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":34,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":10.54},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":21.39},{"price":36,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":32.19},{"price":37,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":43.66},{"price":38,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":54.68},{"price":39,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":66.38}],"bids":[{"price":33,"shares":1,"people":0,"house":1,"total":0.33},{"price":32,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":10.57},{"price":31,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":20.49},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":30.39},{"price":29,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":40.25},{"price":28,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":49.77}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":12.26,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":13,"shares":47,"people":0,"house":47,"total":6.11},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":14.51},{"price":15,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":22.91},{"price":16,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":31.55},{"price":17,"shares":50,"people":0,"house":50,"total":40.05},{"price":18,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":48.87}],"bids":[{"price":12,"shares":17,"people":0,"house":17,"total":2.04},{"price":11,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":9.63},{"price":10,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":17.13},{"price":9,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":24.42},{"price":8,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":31.62},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":38.69}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1065,"slug":"rfc-13-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.5784,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.4216,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.5784,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.6373,"b":700,"state":[-383.204759,-604.640888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1066,"slug":"rfc-13-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5481,"ref":0.625},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2596,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635}],"chance":0.5481,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.625,"b":700,"state":[-420.937742,-2482.045027,-943.987823,-1267.824289],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1067,"slug":"rfc-13-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.375,"ref":0.375},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2981,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635}],"chance":0.375,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.375,"b":700,"state":[-686.580477,-847.282586,-1267.824289,-1267.824289],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1068,"slug":"rfc-13-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 13, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Slag Heap Sam, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4057,"ref":0.4057},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2925,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1981,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/61","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-2137.800827,-631.567285,-860.616323,-1133.241659,-2495.378764],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791301680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:48 AM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1069,"slug":"rfc-13-2-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-2-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 13, fight 2: Gearbox Gus vs Tin Pan Tommy, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.1863,"ref":0.1863},{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.8137,"ref":0.8137}],"chance":0.1863,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62","ref":0.1863,"b":700,"state":[-1176.373684,-144.292544],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1070,"slug":"rfc-13-2-method-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-2-method-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 13, fight 2: Gearbox Gus vs Tin Pan Tommy, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.125,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5673,"ref":0.5673}],"chance":0.2019,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-1119.907923,-1572.546938,-1455.609079,-396.797419],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}