{"id":1072,"slug":"rfc-13-2-first-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-2-first-gearbox-gus-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 13, fight 2: Gearbox Gus vs Tin Pan Tommy, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"Head","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.4811},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.217,"ref":0.1981}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62","ref":0.0094,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-2495.378764,-957.32156,-540.133157,-2495.378764,-1069.561415],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 13, fight 2 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Gearbox Gus (grinder) meets Tin Pan Tommy (volume puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Gearbox Gus and Tin Pan Tommy (RFC 13, fight 2), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/62)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","resolves":1791303000,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 12:10 PM ET · World Day 857","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791294480,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4623,0.0283,0.217],"r":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4623,0.0283,0.217]},{"at":1791299400,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4623,0.0283,0.217],"r":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4811,0.0283,0.1981]},{"at":1791300465,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4623,0.0283,0.217],"r":[0.0094,0.0283,0.2547,0.4811,0.0283,0.1981]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":2.83,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":1.26},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.62},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.77},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.87},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.99},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":42.07}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":249,"people":0,"house":249,"total":4.98},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":9.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":25.47,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":26,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":26,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":4.94},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":14.66},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":24.46},{"price":29,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":34.61},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":44.51},{"price":31,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":54.74}],"bids":[{"price":25,"shares":18,"people":0,"house":18,"total":4.5},{"price":24,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":13.38},{"price":23,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":22.35},{"price":22,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":31.15},{"price":21,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":39.97},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":48.57}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":46.23,"bestBid":46,"bestAsk":47,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":47,"shares":22,"people":0,"house":22,"total":10.34},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":23.78},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":37.5},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":51.5},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":65.78},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":80.34}],"bids":[{"price":46,"shares":6,"people":0,"house":6,"total":2.76},{"price":45,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":15.81},{"price":44,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":28.13},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":40.17},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":52.35},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":64.24}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":2.83,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":1.26},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.62},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.77},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.87},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.99},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":42.07}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":249,"people":0,"house":249,"total":4.98},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":9.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":21.7,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":22,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":22,"shares":12,"people":0,"house":12,"total":2.64},{"price":23,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":12.07},{"price":24,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":21.19},{"price":25,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":30.69},{"price":26,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":40.31},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":50.03}],"bids":[{"price":21,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":6.09},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":14.69},{"price":19,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":23.24},{"price":18,"shares":46,"people":0,"house":46,"total":31.52},{"price":17,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":39.85},{"price":16,"shares":50,"people":0,"house":50,"total":47.85}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1115,"slug":"rfc-14-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3235},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6765}],"chance":0.3431,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.3235,"b":700,"state":[-748.737326,-294.196136],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1116,"slug":"rfc-14-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5865,"ref":0.5673},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0673}],"chance":0.5865,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.5673,"b":700,"state":[-373.461924,-2124.467091,-893.966548,-1713.016425],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1117,"slug":"rfc-14-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.4135,"ref":0.4135},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0673}],"chance":0.4135,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.4135,"b":700,"state":[-618.233548,-893.966548,-1056.227678,-1713.016425],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1118,"slug":"rfc-14-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4434},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1604,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-1902.270262,-485.203026,-957.32156,-1281.158025,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1119,"slug":"rfc-14-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 14, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.9314,"ref":0.9314},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.0686,"ref":0.0686}],"chance":0.9314,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/67","ref":0.9314,"b":700,"state":[-49.767145,-1875.343865],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1120,"slug":"rfc-14-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 14, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1442,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.625,"ref":0.625}],"chance":0.1442,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/67","ref":0.1442,"b":700,"state":[-1355.438489,-3251.073629,-1056.227678,-329.00254],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}