{"id":1077,"slug":"rfc-13-4-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-the-toaster","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-4-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-the-toaster","q":"RFC 13, fight 4: Rivet Rodriguez vs The Toaster, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.4608,"ref":0.4608},{"name":"The Toaster","p":0.5392,"ref":0.5392}],"chance":0.4608,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/64","ref":0.4608,"b":700,"state":[-542.377648,-432.34774],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791303840,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:24 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 13, fight 4 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Rivet Rodriguez (pressure boxer) meets The Toaster (power puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Rivet Rodriguez and The Toaster (RFC 13, fight 4), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/64)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 9:48 AM ET · World Day 854","resolves":1791304440,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 12:34 PM ET · World Day 857","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791294480,"p":[0.4608,0.5392],"r":[0.4608,0.5392]},{"at":1791296880,"p":[0.4608,0.5392],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.4608,0.5392],"r":[0.4608,0.5392]},{"at":1791300461,"p":[0.4608,0.5392],"r":[0.4608,0.5392]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Rivet Rodriguez","o":0,"mid":46.08,"bestBid":46,"bestAsk":47,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":47,"shares":26,"people":0,"house":26,"total":12.22},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":25.66},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":39.38},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":53.38},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":67.66},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":82.22}],"bids":[{"price":46,"shares":2,"people":0,"house":2,"total":0.92},{"price":45,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":13.52},{"price":44,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":26.28},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":38.32},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":50.5},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":62.39}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"The Toaster","o":1,"mid":53.92,"bestBid":53,"bestAsk":54,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":54,"shares":2,"people":0,"house":2,"total":1.08},{"price":55,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":16.48},{"price":56,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":32.72},{"price":57,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":48.68},{"price":58,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":65.5},{"price":59,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":82.61}],"bids":[{"price":53,"shares":26,"people":0,"house":26,"total":13.78},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":28.34},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":42.62},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":56.62},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":70.34},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":83.78}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Rivet Rodriguez","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"The Toaster","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1115,"slug":"rfc-14-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3235},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6765}],"chance":0.3431,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.3235,"b":700,"state":[-748.737326,-294.196136],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1116,"slug":"rfc-14-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-method-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5865,"ref":0.5673},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0673}],"chance":0.5865,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.5673,"b":700,"state":[-373.461924,-2124.467091,-893.966548,-1713.016425],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1117,"slug":"rfc-14-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-round-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.4135,"ref":0.4135},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0673}],"chance":0.4135,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.4135,"b":700,"state":[-618.233548,-893.966548,-1056.227678,-1713.016425],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1118,"slug":"rfc-14-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-1-first-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 14, fight 1: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4434},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1604,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/66","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-1902.270262,-485.203026,-957.32156,-1281.158025,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791305280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1119,"slug":"rfc-14-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-2-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 14, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.9314,"ref":0.9314},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.0686,"ref":0.0686}],"chance":0.9314,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/67","ref":0.9314,"b":700,"state":[-49.767145,-1875.343865],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1120,"slug":"rfc-14-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-2-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 14, fight 2: Tin Pan Tommy vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1442,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.625,"ref":0.625}],"chance":0.1442,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/67","ref":0.1442,"b":700,"state":[-1355.438489,-3251.073629,-1056.227678,-329.00254],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}