{"id":1124,"slug":"rfc-14-3-method-the-toaster-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-3-method-the-toaster-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 14, fight 3: The Toaster vs Circuit Breaker, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5865,"ref":0.6635},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0673}],"chance":0.5865,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/68","ref":0.6635,"b":700,"state":[-373.461924,-1455.609079,-997.860552,-2124.467091],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306720,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:12 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 14, fight 3 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. The Toaster (power puncher) meets Circuit Breaker (technician).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between The Toaster and Circuit Breaker (RFC 14, fight 3), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/68)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791307320,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1:22 PM ET · World Day 858","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791298080,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6058,0.0865,0.2212,0.0865]},{"at":1791303240,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6635,0.1442,0.125,0.0673]},{"at":1791303861,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6635,0.1442,0.125,0.0673]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":58.65,"bestBid":58,"bestAsk":59,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":59,"shares":10,"people":0,"house":10,"total":5.9},{"price":60,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":23.3},{"price":61,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":40.99},{"price":62,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":59.59},{"price":63,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":78.49},{"price":64,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":97.69}],"bids":[{"price":58,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":11.02},{"price":57,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":26.98},{"price":56,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":43.22},{"price":55,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":58.62},{"price":54,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":74.28},{"price":53,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":89.12}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":12.5,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":13,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":4.03},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":12.43},{"price":15,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":20.98},{"price":16,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":29.46},{"price":17,"shares":51,"people":0,"house":51,"total":38.13},{"price":18,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":46.95}],"bids":[{"price":12,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":3.96},{"price":11,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":11.44},{"price":10,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":18.94},{"price":9,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":26.23},{"price":8,"shares":91,"people":0,"house":91,"total":33.51},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":40.58}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":24.04,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":25,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":25,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":9},{"price":26,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":18.62},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":28.34},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":38.14},{"price":29,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":48.29},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":58.19}],"bids":[{"price":24,"shares":1,"people":0,"house":1,"total":0.24},{"price":23,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":9.21},{"price":22,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":18.23},{"price":21,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":26.84},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":35.44},{"price":19,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":43.99}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":4.81,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":5,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":1.45},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":9.55},{"price":7,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":17.6},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":25.68},{"price":9,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":33.78},{"price":10,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":41.98}],"bids":[{"price":4,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":5.4},{"price":3,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":11.64},{"price":2,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":17.46},{"price":1,"shares":493,"people":0,"house":493,"total":22.39}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1081,"slug":"rfc-13-5-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-5-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 13 main event: Sprocket Sally vs Ironjaw Ike, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.7012,"ref":0.7549},{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.2988,"ref":0.2451}],"chance":0.7012,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":104,"trades":1,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/65","ref":0.7549,"b":700,"state":[-144.292544,-741.373684],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791304560,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:36 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1157,"slug":"rfc-15-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.3824,"ref":0.402},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.6176,"ref":0.598}],"chance":0.3824,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.402,"b":700,"state":[-672.987817,-337.286661],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1158,"slug":"rfc-15-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.6827,"ref":0.6827},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Decision","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.6827,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.6827,"b":700,"state":[-267.197715,-3251.073629,-1189.966344,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1159,"slug":"rfc-15-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3942},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.3942,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.3942,"b":700,"state":[-651.573183,-943.987823,-1056.227678,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1160,"slug":"rfc-15-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0472,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.066},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3868,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.2925},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1792,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0472,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.066,"b":700,"state":[-2137.800827,-1902.270262,-664.906919,-816.852073,-1203.30008,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1161,"slug":"rfc-15-2-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-2-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 15, fight 2: Circuit Breaker vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.7157,"ref":0.7157},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.2843,"ref":0.2843}],"chance":0.7157,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/72","ref":0.7157,"b":700,"state":[-234.15936,-880.373888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791309600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}