{"id":1134,"slug":"rfc-14-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-rivet-rodriguez","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-14-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-rivet-rodriguez","q":"RFC 14 main event: Sprocket Sally vs Rivet Rodriguez, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.4434,"ref":0.4811},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1226,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472}],"chance":0.0472,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/70","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-2137.800827,-2495.378764,-816.852073,-569.304045,-1468.942816,-2137.800827],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791308160,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:36 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 14 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Sprocket Sally (kicker) meets Rivet Rodriguez (pressure boxer).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Sprocket Sally and Rivet Rodriguez (RFC 14 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/70)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791308760,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1:46 PM ET · World Day 858","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791298080,"p":[0.0472,0.0283,0.3113,0.4434,0.1226,0.0472],"r":[0.0472,0.0283,0.3113,0.4434,0.1226,0.0472]},{"at":1791301260,"p":[0.0472,0.0283,0.3113,0.4434,0.1226,0.0472],"r":[0.0283,0.0283,0.3302,0.4811,0.0849,0.0472]},{"at":1791303917,"p":[0.0472,0.0283,0.3113,0.4434,0.1226,0.0472],"r":[0.0283,0.0283,0.3302,0.4811,0.0849,0.0472]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":4.72,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":5,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":2.15},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":10.25},{"price":7,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":18.3},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":26.38},{"price":9,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":34.48},{"price":10,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":42.68}],"bids":[{"price":4,"shares":121,"people":0,"house":121,"total":4.84},{"price":3,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":11.08},{"price":2,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":16.9},{"price":1,"shares":493,"people":0,"house":493,"total":21.83}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":2.83,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":1.26},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.62},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.77},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.87},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.99},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":42.07}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":249,"people":0,"house":249,"total":4.98},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":9.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":31.13,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":32,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":32,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":8.96},{"price":33,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":19.52},{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":30.06},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":40.91},{"price":36,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":52.07},{"price":37,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":63.17}],"bids":[{"price":31,"shares":4,"people":0,"house":4,"total":1.24},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":11.14},{"price":29,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":21},{"price":28,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":30.52},{"price":27,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":39.97},{"price":26,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":49.33}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":44.34,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":45,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":45,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":8.55},{"price":46,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":21.43},{"price":47,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":34.59},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":48.03},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":61.75},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":75.75}],"bids":[{"price":44,"shares":10,"people":0,"house":10,"total":4.4},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":16.44},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":28.62},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":40.51},{"price":40,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":52.11},{"price":39,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":63.42}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":12.26,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":13,"shares":47,"people":0,"house":47,"total":6.11},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":14.51},{"price":15,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":22.91},{"price":16,"shares":54,"people":0,"house":54,"total":31.55},{"price":17,"shares":50,"people":0,"house":50,"total":40.05},{"price":18,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":48.87}],"bids":[{"price":12,"shares":17,"people":0,"house":17,"total":2.04},{"price":11,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":9.63},{"price":10,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":17.13},{"price":9,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":24.42},{"price":8,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":31.62},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":38.69}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":4.72,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":5,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":2.15},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":10.25},{"price":7,"shares":115,"people":0,"house":115,"total":18.3},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":26.38},{"price":9,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":34.48},{"price":10,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":42.68}],"bids":[{"price":4,"shares":121,"people":0,"house":121,"total":4.84},{"price":3,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":11.08},{"price":2,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":16.9},{"price":1,"shares":493,"people":0,"house":493,"total":21.83}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1081,"slug":"rfc-13-5-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-13-5-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 13 main event: Sprocket Sally vs Ironjaw Ike, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.7012,"ref":0.7549},{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.2988,"ref":0.2451}],"chance":0.7012,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":104,"trades":1,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/65","ref":0.7549,"b":700,"state":[-144.292544,-741.373684],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791294522,"closes":1791304560,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12:36 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1157,"slug":"rfc-15-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.3824,"ref":0.402},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.6176,"ref":0.598}],"chance":0.3824,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.402,"b":700,"state":[-672.987817,-337.286661],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1158,"slug":"rfc-15-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.6827,"ref":0.6827},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Decision","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.6827,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.6827,"b":700,"state":[-267.197715,-3251.073629,-1189.966344,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1159,"slug":"rfc-15-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3942},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.3942,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.3942,"b":700,"state":[-651.573183,-943.987823,-1056.227678,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1160,"slug":"rfc-15-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 15, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0472,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.066},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3868,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.2925},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1792,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0472,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/71","ref":0.066,"b":700,"state":[-2137.800827,-1902.270262,-664.906919,-816.852073,-1203.30008,-3264.407366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791308880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1161,"slug":"rfc-15-2-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-15-2-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 15, fight 2: Circuit Breaker vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.7157,"ref":0.7157},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.2843,"ref":0.2843}],"chance":0.7157,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/72","ref":0.7157,"b":700,"state":[-234.15936,-880.373888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301722,"closes":1791309600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}