{"id":1215,"slug":"rfc-16-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-rivet-rodriguez","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-16-5-first-sprocket-sally-vs-rivet-rodriguez","q":"RFC 16 main event: Sprocket Sally vs Rivet Rodriguez, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.3113},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.4811},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.1038,"ref":0.0849}],"chance":0.0094,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/80","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-3264.407366,-2495.378764,-816.852073,-540.133157,-1726.350162,-1585.880675],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791305322,"closes":1791315360,"closesText":"Oct 6, 3:36 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 16 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Sprocket Sally (kicker) meets Rivet Rodriguez (pressure boxer).","rules":"Resolves to the first part, of either robot, to come off (an arm part: a shoulder, upper arm, forearm or fist; a leg part: a hip, thigh, shin or foot) in the RFC's computed fight between Sprocket Sally and Rivet Rodriguez (RFC 16 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/80)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 12:48 PM ET · World Day 857","resolves":1791315960,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 3:46 PM ET · World Day 860","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791305280,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.3113,0.4623,0.0849,0.1038],"r":[0.0094,0.0283,0.3113,0.4623,0.0849,0.1038]},{"at":1791308280,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.3113,0.4623,0.0849,0.1038],"r":[0.0283,0.0094,0.3113,0.4811,0.0849,0.0849]},{"at":1791310715,"p":[0.0094,0.0283,0.3113,0.4623,0.0849,0.1038],"r":[0.0283,0.0094,0.3113,0.4811,0.0849,0.0849]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"mid":0.94,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":0.41},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.25},{"price":3,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":19.01},{"price":4,"shares":208,"people":0,"house":208,"total":27.33},{"price":5,"shares":164,"people":0,"house":164,"total":35.53},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.63}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"mid":2.83,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":1.26},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.62},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.77},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.87},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.99},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":42.07}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":249,"people":0,"house":249,"total":4.98},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":9.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"mid":31.13,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":32,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":32,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":8.96},{"price":33,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":19.52},{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":30.06},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":40.91},{"price":36,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":52.07},{"price":37,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":63.17}],"bids":[{"price":31,"shares":4,"people":0,"house":4,"total":1.24},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":11.14},{"price":29,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":21},{"price":28,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":30.52},{"price":27,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":39.97},{"price":26,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":49.33}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"mid":46.23,"bestBid":46,"bestAsk":47,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":47,"shares":22,"people":0,"house":22,"total":10.34},{"price":48,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":23.78},{"price":49,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":37.5},{"price":50,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":51.5},{"price":51,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":65.78},{"price":52,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":80.34}],"bids":[{"price":46,"shares":6,"people":0,"house":6,"total":2.76},{"price":45,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":15.81},{"price":44,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":28.13},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":40.17},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":52.35},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":64.24}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"mid":8.49,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":9,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":9,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":4.05},{"price":10,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":12.15},{"price":11,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":20.4},{"price":12,"shares":69,"people":0,"house":69,"total":28.68},{"price":13,"shares":64,"people":0,"house":64,"total":37},{"price":14,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":45.4}],"bids":[{"price":8,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":3.6},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":10.67},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":17.63},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":24.38},{"price":4,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":30.9},{"price":3,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":37.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"mid":10.38,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":11,"shares":46,"people":0,"house":46,"total":5.06},{"price":12,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":13.22},{"price":13,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":21.67},{"price":14,"shares":59,"people":0,"house":59,"total":29.93},{"price":15,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":38.48},{"price":16,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":46.96}],"bids":[{"price":10,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":2.9},{"price":9,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":10.19},{"price":8,"shares":90,"people":0,"house":90,"total":17.39},{"price":7,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":24.46},{"price":6,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":31.42},{"price":5,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":38.17}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Jaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Head","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"An arm part","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"A leg part","o":3,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Another part","o":4,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Nothing comes off","o":5,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1236,"slug":"rfc-17-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 17, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.7157,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.2843,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.7157,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/81","ref":0.6373,"b":700,"state":[-234.15936,-880.373888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1237,"slug":"rfc-17-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 17, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.4519,"ref":0.5096},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1827,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1442,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.4519,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/81","ref":0.5096,"b":700,"state":[-555.970308,-1189.966344,-1056.227678,-1355.438489],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1238,"slug":"rfc-17-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 17, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.3173,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.3365,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1442,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.3173,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/81","ref":0.2981,"b":700,"state":[-803.518336,-762.329986,-1119.907923,-1355.438489],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1239,"slug":"rfc-17-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 17, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4057,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2925,"ref":0.3491},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.0094}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/81","ref":0.0283,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-1726.350162,-631.567285,-860.616323,-1468.942816,-1902.270262],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1240,"slug":"rfc-17-2-ml-the-toaster-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-2-ml-the-toaster-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 17, fight 2: The Toaster vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"The Toaster","p":0.7353,"ref":0.7549},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2647,"ref":0.2451}],"chance":0.7353,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/82","ref":0.7549,"b":700,"state":[-215.23929,-930.395163],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1241,"slug":"rfc-17-2-method-the-toaster-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-2-method-the-toaster-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 17, fight 2: The Toaster vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5288,"ref":0.5096},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2788}],"chance":0.5288,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/82","ref":0.5096,"b":700,"state":[-445.9404,-3251.073629,-1119.907923,-943.987823],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791316800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4 PM ET · World Day 860","closesWorldDay":860,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}