{"id":1245,"slug":"rfc-17-3-method-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-3-method-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 17, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Ironjaw Ike, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3365,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.3365,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/83","ref":0.2981,"b":700,"state":[-762.329986,-1189.966344,-1189.966344,-847.282586],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791317520,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:12 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 17, fight 3 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Circuit Breaker (technician) meets Ironjaw Ike (brawler).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Circuit Breaker and Ironjaw Ike (RFC 17, fight 3), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/83)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","resolves":1791318120,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 4:22 PM ET · World Day 861","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791308880,"p":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981],"r":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981]},{"at":1791309720,"p":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981],"r":[0.3173,0.2019,0.1827,0.2981]},{"at":1791311160,"p":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981],"r":[0.2981,0.2212,0.2212,0.2596]},{"at":1791313260,"p":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981],"r":[0.2981,0.2212,0.2404,0.2404]},{"at":1791313451,"p":[0.3365,0.1827,0.1827,0.2981],"r":[0.2981,0.2212,0.2404,0.2404]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":33.65,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":34,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":34,"shares":11,"people":0,"house":11,"total":3.74},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":14.59},{"price":36,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":25.39},{"price":37,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":36.86},{"price":38,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":47.88},{"price":39,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":59.58}],"bids":[{"price":33,"shares":21,"people":0,"house":21,"total":6.93},{"price":32,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":17.17},{"price":31,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":27.09},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":36.99},{"price":29,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":46.85},{"price":28,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":56.37}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":18.27,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":19,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":19,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":6.46},{"price":20,"shares":44,"people":0,"house":44,"total":15.26},{"price":21,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":24.29},{"price":22,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":33.53},{"price":23,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":42.73},{"price":24,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":52.09}],"bids":[{"price":18,"shares":13,"people":0,"house":13,"total":2.34},{"price":17,"shares":48,"people":0,"house":48,"total":10.5},{"price":16,"shares":51,"people":0,"house":51,"total":18.66},{"price":15,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":26.61},{"price":14,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":34.59},{"price":13,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":42.39}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":18.27,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":19,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":19,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":6.46},{"price":20,"shares":44,"people":0,"house":44,"total":15.26},{"price":21,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":24.29},{"price":22,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":33.53},{"price":23,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":42.73},{"price":24,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":52.09}],"bids":[{"price":18,"shares":13,"people":0,"house":13,"total":2.34},{"price":17,"shares":48,"people":0,"house":48,"total":10.5},{"price":16,"shares":51,"people":0,"house":51,"total":18.66},{"price":15,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":26.61},{"price":14,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":34.59},{"price":13,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":42.39}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":29.81,"bestBid":29,"bestAsk":30,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":30,"shares":6,"people":0,"house":6,"total":1.8},{"price":31,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":12.03},{"price":32,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":22.59},{"price":33,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":33.15},{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":43.69},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":54.54}],"bids":[{"price":29,"shares":27,"people":0,"house":27,"total":7.83},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":17.63},{"price":27,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":27.08},{"price":26,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":36.44},{"price":25,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":45.44},{"price":24,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":54.56}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1265,"slug":"rfc-18-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 18, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2647,"ref":0.3235},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.7353,"ref":0.6765}],"chance":0.2647,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/86","ref":0.3235,"b":700,"state":[-930.395163,-215.23929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791319680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:48 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1266,"slug":"rfc-18-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 18, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3365,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3365,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3173,"ref":0.375}],"chance":0.3365,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/86","ref":0.3173,"b":700,"state":[-762.329986,-3251.073629,-762.329986,-803.518336],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791319680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:48 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1267,"slug":"rfc-18-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 18, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1827,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.3173,"ref":0.375}],"chance":0.2212,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/86","ref":0.2019,"b":700,"state":[-1056.227678,-893.966548,-1189.966344,-803.518336],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791319680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:48 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1268,"slug":"rfc-18-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 18, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.1604,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.5377,"ref":0.5566},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1792,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/86","ref":0.0472,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-2137.800827,-1281.158025,-434.271478,-1203.30008,-2137.800827],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791319680,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:48 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1269,"slug":"rfc-18-2-ml-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-2-ml-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 18, fight 2: Ironjaw Ike vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.6176,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.3824,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6176,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/87","ref":0.6765,"b":700,"state":[-337.286661,-672.987817],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791320400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1270,"slug":"rfc-18-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 18, fight 2: Ironjaw Ike vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3942,"ref":0.375},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596}],"chance":0.3942,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/87","ref":0.375,"b":700,"state":[-651.573183,-2482.045027,-803.518336,-943.987823],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791320400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}