{"id":1244,"slug":"rfc-17-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-17-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 17, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Ironjaw Ike, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.598,"ref":0.5392},{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.402,"ref":0.4608}],"chance":0.598,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/83","ref":0.5392,"b":700,"state":[-359.869264,-637.980523],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791308922,"closes":1791317520,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:12 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"resolved","winner":"Circuit Breaker","resolved":1791318162,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 17, fight 3 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Circuit Breaker (technician) meets Ironjaw Ike (brawler).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Circuit Breaker and Ironjaw Ike (RFC 17, fight 3), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/83)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 1:48 PM ET · World Day 858","resolves":1791318120,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 4:22 PM ET · World Day 861","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/83","winner":"Circuit Breaker","method":"Decision","round":3,"first":"Left thigh","read":1791318162},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791308880,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.598,0.402]},{"at":1791314520,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.5392,0.4608]},{"at":1791318162,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.5392,0.4608]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Circuit Breaker","o":0,"mid":59.8,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Ironjaw Ike","o":1,"mid":40.2,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Circuit Breaker","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Ironjaw Ike","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1341,"slug":"rfc-20-13-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6373,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.3627,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.6373,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.6373,"b":1000,"state":[-450.585543,-1014.054901],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1342,"slug":"rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.4327,"ref":0.4327},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.2788,"b":1000,"state":[-1277.095069,-837.728409,-1425.515074,-3034.952987],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1343,"slug":"rfc-20-13-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472}],"chance":0.2547,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.2547,"b":1000,"state":[-1367.602228,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-1618.916656,-3054.001182,-3054.001182],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1344,"slug":"rfc-20-13-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.066},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.3113},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3679,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"Another part","p":0.066,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849}],"chance":0.1038,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.1038,"b":1000,"state":[-2265.543821,-2717.528945,-1166.931533,-999.877448,-2717.528945,-2466.214517],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1337,"slug":"rfc-20-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 20, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Tin Pan Tommy, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.2647,"ref":0.2647},{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.7353,"ref":0.7353}],"chance":0.2647,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/98","ref":0.2647,"b":700,"state":[-930.395163,-215.23929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319242,"closes":1791330000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:40 PM ET · World Day 864","closesWorldDay":864,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1338,"slug":"rfc-20-3-method-circuit-breaker-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-3-method-circuit-breaker-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 20, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Tin Pan Tommy, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1827,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.5096}],"chance":0.1058,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/98","ref":0.1058,"b":700,"state":[-1572.546938,-1189.966344,-1119.907923,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319242,"closes":1791330000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:40 PM ET · World Day 864","closesWorldDay":864,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}