{"id":1270,"slug":"rfc-18-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-18-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 18, fight 2: Ironjaw Ike vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3942,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3558},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2788}],"chance":0.3942,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/87","ref":0.3173,"b":700,"state":[-651.573183,-2482.045027,-803.518336,-943.987823],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791312522,"closes":1791320400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5 PM ET · World Day 861","closesWorldDay":861,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 18, fight 2 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Ironjaw Ike (brawler) meets Big Bertha 9000 (heavyweight).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Ironjaw Ike and Big Bertha 9000 (RFC 18, fight 2), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/87)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 2:48 PM ET · World Day 859","resolves":1791321000,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 5:10 PM ET · World Day 862","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791312480,"p":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596],"r":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596]},{"at":1791312720,"p":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596],"r":[0.375,0.0481,0.3173,0.2596]},{"at":1791314520,"p":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596],"r":[0.375,0.0481,0.3365,0.2404]},{"at":1791316260,"p":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596],"r":[0.3173,0.0481,0.3558,0.2788]},{"at":1791317665,"p":[0.3942,0.0288,0.3173,0.2596],"r":[0.3173,0.0481,0.3558,0.2788]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":39.42,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":40,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":40,"shares":17,"people":0,"house":17,"total":6.8},{"price":41,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":18.69},{"price":42,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":30.87},{"price":43,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":42.91},{"price":44,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":55.67},{"price":45,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":68.27}],"bids":[{"price":39,"shares":12,"people":0,"house":12,"total":4.68},{"price":38,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":16.08},{"price":37,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":27.18},{"price":36,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":37.98},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":48.83},{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":59.37}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":2.88,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":3,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":0.84},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":9.2},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":17.35},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":25.45},{"price":7,"shares":116,"people":0,"house":116,"total":33.57},{"price":8,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":41.65}],"bids":[{"price":2,"shares":263,"people":0,"house":263,"total":5.26},{"price":1,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.18}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":31.73,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":32,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":32,"shares":9,"people":0,"house":9,"total":2.88},{"price":33,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":13.44},{"price":34,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":23.98},{"price":35,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":34.83},{"price":36,"shares":31,"people":0,"house":31,"total":45.99},{"price":37,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":57.09}],"bids":[{"price":31,"shares":24,"people":0,"house":24,"total":7.44},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":17.34},{"price":29,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":26.91},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":36.71},{"price":27,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":46.16},{"price":26,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":55.52}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":25.96,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":26,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":26,"shares":1,"people":0,"house":1,"total":0.26},{"price":27,"shares":36,"people":0,"house":36,"total":9.98},{"price":28,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":19.78},{"price":29,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":29.93},{"price":30,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":39.83},{"price":31,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":50.06}],"bids":[{"price":25,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":8.75},{"price":24,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":17.87},{"price":23,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":26.84},{"price":22,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":35.64},{"price":21,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":44.46},{"price":20,"shares":43,"people":0,"house":43,"total":53.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1292,"slug":"rfc-19-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 19, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2843,"ref":0.3235},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.7157,"ref":0.6765}],"chance":0.2843,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/91","ref":0.3235,"b":700,"state":[-880.373888,-234.15936],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791323280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:48 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1293,"slug":"rfc-19-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-1-method-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 19, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1442,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.5096}],"chance":0.3173,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/91","ref":0.2981,"b":700,"state":[-803.518336,-2482.045027,-1355.438489,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791323280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:48 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1294,"slug":"rfc-19-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 19, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1635,"ref":0.125},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.125,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.5096,"ref":0.5096}],"chance":0.2019,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/91","ref":0.2212,"b":700,"state":[-1119.907923,-1267.824289,-1455.609079,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791323280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:48 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1295,"slug":"rfc-19-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 19, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3302,"ref":0.3491},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3491,"ref":0.3491},{"name":"Another part","p":0.1792,"ref":0.1792},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/91","ref":0.0094,"b":700,"state":[-2495.378764,-2137.800827,-775.663723,-736.764827,-1203.30008,-1902.270262],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791323280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:48 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1296,"slug":"rfc-19-2-ml-the-toaster-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-2-ml-the-toaster-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 19, fight 2: The Toaster vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"The Toaster","p":0.7941,"ref":0.7941},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.2059,"ref":0.2059}],"chance":0.7941,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/92","ref":0.7941,"b":700,"state":[-161.366561,-1106.315263],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791324000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1297,"slug":"rfc-19-2-method-the-toaster-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-2-method-the-toaster-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 19, fight 2: The Toaster vs Big Bertha 9000, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5288,"ref":0.5481},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0673},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3365,"ref":0.2981},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0865}],"chance":0.5288,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/92","ref":0.5481,"b":700,"state":[-445.9404,-2124.467091,-762.329986,-1713.016425],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791324000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}