{"id":1300,"slug":"rfc-19-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 19, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Ironjaw Ike, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.6961,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.3039,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6961,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/93","ref":0.6765,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-253.605055,-833.689926],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791324720,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6:12 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"resolved","winner":"Ironjaw Ike","resolved":1791324882,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 19, fight 3 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Circuit Breaker (technician) meets Ironjaw Ike (brawler).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Circuit Breaker and Ironjaw Ike (RFC 19, fight 3), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/93)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","resolves":1791325320,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 6:22 PM ET · World Day 863","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/93","winner":"Ironjaw Ike","method":"Power core failure","round":1,"first":"none","read":1791324882},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791316080,"p":[0.6961,0.3039],"r":[0.6961,0.3039]},{"at":1791318120,"p":[0.6961,0.3039],"r":[0.7157,0.2843]},{"at":1791321000,"p":[0.6961,0.3039],"r":[0.6961,0.3039]},{"at":1791321720,"p":[0.6961,0.3039],"r":[0.6765,0.3235]},{"at":1791324882,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.6765,0.3235]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Circuit Breaker","o":0,"mid":69.61,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Ironjaw Ike","o":1,"mid":30.39,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Circuit Breaker","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Ironjaw Ike","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1341,"slug":"rfc-20-13-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6373,"ref":0.5784},{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.3627,"ref":0.4216}],"chance":0.6373,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.5784,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-450.585543,-1014.054901],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1342,"slug":"rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.4327,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.3365},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0481,"ref":0.1058}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1277.095069,-837.728409,-1425.515074,-3034.952987],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1343,"slug":"rfc-20-13-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2547,"ref":0.1415},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2925},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.1981,"ref":0.2358},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1226},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.0472,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.0472,"ref":0.1038}],"chance":0.2547,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.1415,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1367.602228,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-1618.916656,-3054.001182,-3054.001182],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1344,"slug":"rfc-20-13-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.1038,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Head","p":0.066,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3113,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3679,"ref":0.3868},{"name":"Another part","p":0.066,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0849,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.1038,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.0849,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-2265.543821,-2717.528945,-1166.931533,-999.877448,-2717.528945,-2466.214517],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1380,"slug":"rfc-20-9-ml-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-9-ml-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 20, fight 9: Lady Volt vs Circuit Breaker, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.6961,"ref":0.6961},{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.3039,"ref":0.3039}],"chance":0.6961,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/105","ref":0.6961,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-253.605055,-833.689926],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791326442,"closes":1791337200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:40 PM ET · World Day 866","closesWorldDay":866,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1381,"slug":"rfc-20-9-method-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-9-method-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 20, fight 9: Lady Volt vs Circuit Breaker, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.3365,"ref":0.3365},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3365,"ref":0.3365}],"chance":0.0481,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/105","ref":0.0481,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-2124.467091,-762.329986,-893.966548,-762.329986],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791326442,"closes":1791337200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:40 PM ET · World Day 866","closesWorldDay":866,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}