{"id":1304,"slug":"rfc-19-4-ml-lady-volt-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-19-4-ml-lady-volt-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 19, fight 4: Lady Volt vs Tin Pan Tommy, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.3627,"ref":0.402},{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.6373,"ref":0.598}],"chance":0.3627,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/94","ref":0.402,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-709.83843,-315.40988],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316122,"closes":1791325440,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6:24 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"resolved","winner":"Tin Pan Tommy","resolved":1791326082,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 19, fight 4 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets Tin Pan Tommy (volume puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and Tin Pan Tommy (RFC 19, fight 4), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/94)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 3:48 PM ET · World Day 860","resolves":1791326040,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 6:34 PM ET · World Day 863","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/94","winner":"Tin Pan Tommy","method":"Decision","round":3,"first":"Left thigh","read":1791326082},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791316080,"p":[0.3627,0.6373],"r":[0.3627,0.6373]},{"at":1791318840,"p":[0.3627,0.6373],"r":[0.402,0.598]},{"at":1791319560,"p":[0.3627,0.6373],"r":[0.3627,0.6373]},{"at":1791322200,"p":[0.3627,0.6373],"r":[0.402,0.598]},{"at":1791326082,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.402,0.598]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":0,"mid":36.27,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Tin Pan 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11 PM ET · World Day 867","closesWorldDay":867,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1342,"slug":"rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-20-13-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 20 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.4327,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.3365},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0481,"ref":0.1058}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/99","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1277.095069,-837.728409,-1425.515074,-3034.952987],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791319602,"closes":1791342000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 PM ET · 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(dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3365,"ref":0.3365}],"chance":0.0481,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/105","ref":0.0481,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-2124.467091,-762.329986,-893.966548,-762.329986],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791326442,"closes":1791337200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9:40 PM ET · World Day 866","closesWorldDay":866,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}