{"id":1651,"slug":"rfc-21-22-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-22-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 21, fight 22: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5865,"ref":0.5481},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2019,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1827}],"chance":0.5865,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/131","ref":0.5481,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-373.461924,-3251.073629,-1119.907923,-1119.907923],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791358850,"closes":1791369600,"closesText":"Oct 7, 6:40 AM ET · World Day 875","closesWorldDay":875,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 21, fight 22 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Big Bertha 9000 (heavyweight) meets Gearbox Gus (grinder).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Big Bertha 9000 and Gearbox Gus (RFC 21, fight 22), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 15 minutes (3 rounds, unless it ends sooner). Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/131)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 3:40 AM ET · World Day 872","resolves":1791370500,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 6:55 AM ET · World Day 875","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791358800,"p":[0.5865,0.0096,0.2019,0.2019],"r":[0.5865,0.0096,0.2019,0.2019]},{"at":1791359520,"p":[0.5865,0.0096,0.2019,0.2019],"r":[0.5673,0.0096,0.2019,0.2212]},{"at":1791363300,"p":[0.5865,0.0096,0.2019,0.2019],"r":[0.5481,0.0096,0.2596,0.1827]},{"at":1791363437,"p":[0.5865,0.0096,0.2019,0.2019],"r":[0.5481,0.0096,0.2596,0.1827]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":58.65,"bestBid":58,"bestAsk":59,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":59,"shares":10,"people":0,"house":10,"total":5.9},{"price":60,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":23.3},{"price":61,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":40.99},{"price":62,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":59.59},{"price":63,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":78.49},{"price":64,"shares":30,"people":0,"house":30,"total":97.69}],"bids":[{"price":58,"shares":19,"people":0,"house":19,"total":11.02},{"price":57,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":26.98},{"price":56,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":43.22},{"price":55,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":58.62},{"price":54,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":74.28},{"price":53,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":89.12}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":0.96,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":1,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":1,"shares":28,"people":0,"house":28,"total":0.28},{"price":2,"shares":492,"people":0,"house":492,"total":10.12},{"price":3,"shares":291,"people":0,"house":291,"total":18.85},{"price":4,"shares":209,"people":0,"house":209,"total":27.21},{"price":5,"shares":163,"people":0,"house":163,"total":35.36},{"price":6,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":43.46}],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":20.19,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":21,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":21,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":7.35},{"price":22,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":16.37},{"price":23,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":25.57},{"price":24,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":34.93},{"price":25,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":44.43},{"price":26,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":54.05}],"bids":[{"price":20,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":1.6},{"price":19,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":10.15},{"price":18,"shares":46,"people":0,"house":46,"total":18.43},{"price":17,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":26.76},{"price":16,"shares":51,"people":0,"house":51,"total":34.92},{"price":15,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":42.87}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":20.19,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":21,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":21,"shares":35,"people":0,"house":35,"total":7.35},{"price":22,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":16.37},{"price":23,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":25.57},{"price":24,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":34.93},{"price":25,"shares":38,"people":0,"house":38,"total":44.43},{"price":26,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":54.05}],"bids":[{"price":20,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":1.6},{"price":19,"shares":45,"people":0,"house":45,"total":10.15},{"price":18,"shares":46,"people":0,"house":46,"total":18.43},{"price":17,"shares":49,"people":0,"house":49,"total":26.76},{"price":16,"shares":51,"people":0,"house":51,"total":34.92},{"price":15,"shares":53,"people":0,"house":53,"total":42.87}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1501,"slug":"rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6373},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3627}],"chance":0.6569,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.6373,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-420.280194,-1069.624752],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1502,"slug":"rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.4327,"ref":0.4327},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1058,"ref":0.125}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1827,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1811.177555,-1210.403695,-837.728409,-2246.495626],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1503,"slug":"rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1226},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1981,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2358},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1226}],"chance":0.1226,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1226,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-2098.489737,-1618.916656,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-2098.489737,-2265.543821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1504,"slug":"rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4811},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3491,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0094},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.066,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-3564.826805,-3054.001182,-693.147181,-1052.521181,-4663.439094,-2717.528945],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1682,"slug":"rfc-21-25-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-25-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 21, fight 25: Tin Pan Tommy vs Circuit Breaker, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6569},{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3431}],"chance":0.6569,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/134","ref":0.6569,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-294.196136,-748.737326],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791362450,"closes":1791373200,"closesText":"Oct 7, 7:40 AM ET · World Day 876","closesWorldDay":876,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1683,"slug":"rfc-21-25-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-21-25-method-tin-pan-tommy-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 21, fight 25: Tin Pan Tommy vs Circuit Breaker, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1058,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.5288}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/134","ref":0.1635,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-1267.824289,-1056.227678,-1572.546938,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791362450,"closes":1791373200,"closesText":"Oct 7, 7:40 AM ET · World Day 876","closesWorldDay":876,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}