{"id":685,"slug":"rfc-4-1-ml-lady-volt-vs-the-toaster","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-4-1-ml-lady-volt-vs-the-toaster","q":"RFC 4, fight 1: Lady Volt vs The Toaster, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.5784,"ref":0.5},{"name":"The Toaster","p":0.4216,"ref":0.5}],"chance":0.5784,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/16","ref":0.5,"b":700,"state":[-383.204759,-604.640888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262107,"closes":1791269280,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:48 AM ET · World Day 847","closesWorldDay":847,"status":"resolved","winner":"The Toaster","resolved":1791269381,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 4, fight 1 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets The Toaster (power puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and The Toaster (RFC 4, fight 1), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/16)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 12:48 AM ET · World Day 845","resolves":1791269880,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 2:58 AM ET · World Day 847","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/16","winner":"The Toaster","method":"KO (head off)","round":1,"first":"Ribcage","read":1791269381},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791262080,"p":[0.5784,0.4216],"r":[0.5784,0.4216]},{"at":1791265020,"p":[0.5784,0.4216],"r":[0.5392,0.4608]},{"at":1791266760,"p":[0.5784,0.4216],"r":[0.5196,0.4804]},{"at":1791267840,"p":[0.5784,0.4216],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791269381,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.5,0.5]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":0,"mid":57.84,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"The 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(dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.4904}],"chance":0.2212,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/47","ref":0.2788,"b":700,"state":[-1056.227678,-2482.045027,-997.860552,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}