{"id":742,"slug":"rfc-5-3-method-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-5-3-method-lady-volt-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 5, fight 3: Lady Volt vs Circuit Breaker, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1058},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3558,"ref":0.3942},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2596}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/23","ref":0.1058,"b":700,"state":[-1267.824289,-997.860552,-723.431091,-997.860552],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791265721,"closes":1791274320,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4:12 AM ET · World Day 849","closesWorldDay":849,"status":"resolved","winner":"Decision","resolved":1791274961,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 5, fight 3 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets Circuit Breaker (technician).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and Circuit Breaker (RFC 5, fight 3), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/23)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 1:48 AM ET · World Day 846","resolves":1791274920,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 4:22 AM ET · World Day 849","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/23","winner":"Circuit Breaker","method":"Decision","round":3,"first":"Left foot","read":1791274961},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791265680,"p":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404],"r":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404]},{"at":1791266760,"p":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404],"r":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3365,0.2596]},{"at":1791268680,"p":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404],"r":[0.125,0.2788,0.3558,0.2404]},{"at":1791269340,"p":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404],"r":[0.125,0.2788,0.375,0.2212]},{"at":1791272160,"p":[0.1635,0.2404,0.3558,0.2404],"r":[0.1058,0.2404,0.3942,0.2596]},{"at":1791274961,"p":[0,0,0,1],"r":[0.1058,0.2404,0.3942,0.2596]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":16.35,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":24.04,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":35.58,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":24.04,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":939,"slug":"rfc-10-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-1-ml-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 10, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.5392,"ref":0.5784},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.4608,"ref":0.4216}],"chance":0.5392,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46","ref":0.5784,"b":700,"state":[-432.34774,-542.377648],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791290880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":940,"slug":"rfc-10-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-1-method-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 10, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.4712,"ref":0.5481},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1058,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.4712,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46","ref":0.5481,"b":700,"state":[-526.799421,-1572.546938,-1056.227678,-1119.907923],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791290880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":941,"slug":"rfc-10-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-1-round-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 10, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.4519,"ref":0.375},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2596,"ref":0.3942},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.0865,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1442}],"chance":0.4519,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46","ref":0.375,"b":700,"state":[-555.970308,-943.987823,-1713.016425,-1119.907923],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791290880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":942,"slug":"rfc-10-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-1-first-big-bertha-9000-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 10, fight 1: Big Bertha 9000 vs Gearbox Gus, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.066,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"Head","p":0.1038,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.4623,"ref":0.4434},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.2547,"ref":0.2547},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0849,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.0283,"ref":0.0283}],"chance":0.066,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/46","ref":0.1038,"b":700,"state":[-1902.270262,-1585.880675,-540.133157,-957.32156,-1726.350162,-2495.378764],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791290880,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:48 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":943,"slug":"rfc-10-2-ml-ironjaw-ike-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-2-ml-ironjaw-ike-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 10, fight 2: Ironjaw Ike vs Slag Heap Sam, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.9118,"ref":0.8922},{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.0882,"ref":0.1078}],"chance":0.9118,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/47","ref":0.8922,"b":700,"state":[-64.661324,-1699.423765],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":944,"slug":"rfc-10-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-slag-heap-sam","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-10-2-method-ironjaw-ike-vs-slag-heap-sam","q":"RFC 10, fight 2: Ironjaw Ike vs Slag Heap Sam, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.4904}],"chance":0.2212,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/47","ref":0.2788,"b":700,"state":[-1056.227678,-2482.045027,-997.860552,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}