{"id":784,"slug":"rfc-6-4-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-6-4-ml-tin-pan-tommy-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 6, fight 4: Tin Pan Tommy vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.5,"ref":0.5588},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.5,"ref":0.4412}],"chance":0.5,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29","ref":0.5588,"b":700,"state":[-485.203026,-485.203026],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791269321,"closes":1791278640,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:24 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"resolved","winner":"Lady Volt","resolved":1791278801,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 6, fight 4 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Tin Pan Tommy (volume puncher) meets Lady Volt (counter puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Tin Pan Tommy and Lady Volt (RFC 6, fight 4), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 2:48 AM ET · World Day 847","resolves":1791279240,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 5:34 AM ET · World Day 850","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29","winner":"Lady Volt","method":"TKO (dismantled)","round":1,"first":"Right thigh","read":1791278801},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791269280,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791269340,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.5196,0.4804]},{"at":1791274920,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.5588,0.4412]},{"at":1791278801,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.5588,0.4412]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Tin Pan Tommy","o":0,"mid":50,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":1,"mid":50,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Tin Pan Tommy","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1027,"slug":"rfc-12-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-ml-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Slag Heap Sam","p":0.2451,"ref":0.3039},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.7549,"ref":0.6961}],"chance":0.2451,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.3039,"b":700,"state":[-984.267892,-196.817174],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 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855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1029,"slug":"rfc-12-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-round-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.4904,"ref":0.4519},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.125,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.125,"ref":0.125}],"chance":0.4904,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/56","ref":0.4519,"b":700,"state":[-498.795686,-943.987823,-1455.609079,-1455.609079],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298080,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1030,"slug":"rfc-12-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-1-first-slag-heap-sam-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 12, fight 1: Slag Heap Sam vs Big Bertha 9000, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Head","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.3868,"ref":0.3679},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.217,"ref":0.217},{"name":"Another part","p":0.2736,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Nothing comes 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Gus","p":0.0882,"ref":0.0882}],"chance":0.9118,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57","ref":0.9118,"b":700,"state":[-64.661324,-1699.423765],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1032,"slug":"rfc-12-2-method-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-12-2-method-lady-volt-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 12, fight 2: Lady Volt vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.0673,"ref":0.0865},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2212,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3558,"ref":0.3558},{"name":"Decision","p":0.3558,"ref":0.3558}],"chance":0.0673,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/57","ref":0.0865,"b":700,"state":[-1888.936525,-1056.227678,-723.431091,-723.431091],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791290921,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}