{"id":867,"slug":"rfc-8-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/rfc-8-3-ml-circuit-breaker-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 8, fight 3: Circuit Breaker vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Circuit Breaker","p":0.3431,"ref":0.2843},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.6569,"ref":0.7157}],"chance":0.3431,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/38","ref":0.2843,"b":700,"state":[-748.737326,-294.196136],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276521,"closes":1791285120,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:12 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"resolved","winner":"Circuit Breaker","resolved":1791285401,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 8, fight 3 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. 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Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/38)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:48 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791285720,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7:22 AM ET · World Day 852","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/38","winner":"Circuit Breaker","method":"Power core failure","round":2,"first":"Right thigh","read":1791285401},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791276480,"p":[0.3431,0.6569],"r":[0.3431,0.6569]},{"at":1791278760,"p":[0.3431,0.6569],"r":[0.3039,0.6961]},{"at":1791279840,"p":[0.3431,0.6569],"r":[0.2843,0.7157]},{"at":1791285401,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.2843,0.7157]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Circuit Breaker","o":0,"mid":34.31,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Lady 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(dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Decision","p":0.5096,"ref":0.4904}],"chance":0.2212,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/47","ref":0.2788,"b":700,"state":[-1056.227678,-2482.045027,-997.860552,-471.86929],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791283721,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}