{"id":1674,"slug":"shanghai-rolex-masters-holger-rune-vs-daniel-altmaier","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/shanghai-rolex-masters-holger-rune-vs-daniel-altmaier","q":"Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Holger Rune","p":0.655,"ref":0.655},{"name":"Daniel Altmaier","p":0.345,"ref":0.345}],"chance":0.655,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-rune-altmaie-2026-10-06","ref":0.655,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1301,"state":[-550.479176,-1384.538331],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791360650,"closes":1791365400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 5:30 AM ET · World Day 874","closesWorldDay":874,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Daniel Altmaier.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Holger Rune.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 4:10 AM ET · World Day 873","resolves":1791943200,"resolvesText":"Oct 13, 10 PM ET · World Day 1,034","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791360600,"p":[0.655,0.345],"r":[0.655,0.345]},{"at":1791363437,"p":[0.655,0.345],"r":[0.655,0.345]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Holger Rune","o":0,"mid":65.5,"bestBid":65,"bestAsk":66,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":66,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":19.14},{"price":67,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":58},{"price":68,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":98.8},{"price":69,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":140.2},{"price":70,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":182.9},{"price":71,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":227.63}],"bids":[{"price":65,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":18.85},{"price":64,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":55.33},{"price":63,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":90.61},{"price":62,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":124.71},{"price":61,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":158.26},{"price":60,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":191.26}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Daniel Altmaier","o":1,"mid":34.5,"bestBid":34,"bestAsk":35,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":35,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":10.15},{"price":36,"shares":57,"people":0,"house":57,"total":30.67},{"price":37,"shares":56,"people":0,"house":56,"total":51.39},{"price":38,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":72.29},{"price":39,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":93.74},{"price":40,"shares":55,"people":0,"house":55,"total":115.74}],"bids":[{"price":34,"shares":29,"people":0,"house":29,"total":9.86},{"price":33,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":29},{"price":32,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":48.2},{"price":31,"shares":60,"people":0,"house":60,"total":66.8},{"price":30,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":85.1},{"price":29,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":103.37}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Holger Rune","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Daniel Altmaier","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.8827,"ref":0.9114},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.1105,"ref":0.0543},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0061,"ref":0.0334},{"name":"Other","p":0.0008,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8827,"change24":0.0197,"change7d":null,"vol":4378,"trades":95,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9114,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2413,"state":[3650.182723,-1364.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":898,"slug":"ac-monza-vs-cagliari-calcio-exact-score-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/ac-monza-vs-cagliari-calcio-exact-score-who-wins","q":"AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - Exact Score: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0025,"ref":0.0258},{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0936,"ref":0.179},{"name":"AC Monza 1 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0025,"ref":0.0258},{"name":"AC Monza 2 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0025,"ref":0.0258},{"name":"AC Monza 5 - 2 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0119,"ref":0.0168},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0025,"ref":0.0203},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 5 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0954,"ref":0.179},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 1 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0863,"ref":0.17},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0878,"ref":0.1774},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 5 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.1037,"ref":0.179},{"name":"Other","p":0.5115,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.0025,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":5933,"trades":106,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/sea-mon-cag-2026-10-19-exact-score","ref":0.0258,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1516.25,"state":[-5078.183297,442.816703,-5078.183297,-5078.183297,-2685.183297,-5078.183297,472.816703,320.939594,345.939594,598.677739,3018.445648],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791278141,"closes":1792427400,"closesText":"Oct 19, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 1,169","closesWorldDay":1169,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":229,"slug":"pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","q":"Pro Football: 2026-27 Return Yards Leader (Team): who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["nfl"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Houston Texans","p":0.0029,"ref":0.0656},{"name":"Cleveland Browns","p":0.0924,"ref":0.1501},{"name":"Cincinnati Bengals","p":0.0731,"ref":0.1138},{"name":"Tampa Bay Buccaneers","p":0.0597,"ref":0.1117},{"name":"Washington Commanders","p":0.026,"ref":0.0858},{"name":"Green Bay Packers","p":0.1672,"ref":0.1738},{"name":"Arizona Cardinals","p":0.0008,"ref":0.0712},{"name":"Minnesota Vikings","p":0.0006,"ref":0.0822},{"name":"New England Patriots","p":0.0004,"ref":0.0724},{"name":"Indianapolis Colts","p":0.0004,"ref":0.0724},{"name":"Other","p":0.5765,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.0029,"change24":-0.1858,"change7d":null,"vol":7454,"trades":222,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-20260720202833323","ref":0.0656,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1340,"state":[-1898.579785,2751.80243,2437.925169,2165.925169,1052.369554,3546.980744,-3539.344174,-3979.124423,-4623.245876,-4623.245876,5205.246919],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234685,"closes":1801025940,"closesText":"Jan 26, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,557","closesWorldDay":3557,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":905,"slug":"al-fayha-saudi-club-vs-al-ahli-saudi-club-exact-score-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/al-fayha-saudi-club-vs-al-ahli-saudi-club-exact-score-who-wins","q":"Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - Exact Score: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0661,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 0 - 4 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 0 - 5 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 1 - 4 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0301},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 1 - 5 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0301},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 2 - 4 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0301},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 2 - 5 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 3 - 4 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 3 - 5 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Al Fayha Saudi Club 4 - 5 Al Ahli Saudi Club","p":0.0263,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Other","p":0.6976,"ref":0.6966}],"chance":0.0661,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":141,"trades":5,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/spl-fay-ahl-2026-10-19-exact-score","ref":0.0304,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1513.75,"state":[-4040.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-5436.943888,-472.868851],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791279341,"closes":1792422300,"closesText":"Oct 19, 11:05 AM ET · World Day 1,168","closesWorldDay":1168,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1578,"slug":"counter-strike-spirit-vs-m80-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-spirit-vs-m80-bo3-esl-pro-league-group-stage","q":"Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Spirit","p":0.8302,"ref":0.875},{"name":"M80","p":0.1698,"ref":0.125}],"chance":0.8302,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":20,"trades":1,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-ts7-m80-2026-10-07","ref":0.875,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1176,"state":[-198.060334,-2064.452271],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791350210,"closes":1791392400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 1 PM ET · World Day 881","closesWorldDay":881,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1583,"slug":"pro-football-nfc-east-champion-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/pro-football-nfc-east-champion-who-wins","q":"Pro Football: NFC East Champion: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["nfl"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Dallas Cowboys","p":0.4619,"ref":0.4633},{"name":"Philadelphia Eagles","p":0.344,"ref":0.345},{"name":"New York Giants","p":0.1278,"ref":0.1281},{"name":"Washington Commanders","p":0.0624,"ref":0.0626},{"name":"Other","p":0.004,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.4619,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-nfc-east-champion","ref":0.4633,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3833.75,"state":[-2961.341913,-4091.52965,-7888.470681,-10635.331642,-21168.164532],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791350690,"closes":1800248340,"closesText":"Jan 17, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,341","closesWorldDay":3341,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}