{"id":1555,"slug":"toronto-mayoral-election-winner-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-who-wins","q":"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: who wins?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Olivia Chow","p":0.7447,"ref":0.7942},{"name":"Brad Bradford","p":0.2515,"ref":0.2048},{"name":"Other","p":0.0038,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.7447,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":187,"trades":[{"at":1791353450,"buyer":"resres360xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","buyerName":"quinytri1971","seller":"house","sellerName":"The house","taker":"buy","outcome":"Brad Bradford","o":1,"shares":725,"price":23.01,"gold":166.83},{"at":1791349602,"buyer":"resres1317xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","buyerName":"tidenova","seller":"house","sellerName":"The house","taker":"buy","outcome":"Brad Bradford","o":1,"shares":100,"price":20.69,"gold":20.69}],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545","ref":0.7942,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3056,"state":[-713.334948,-4030.229954,-16873.633266],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349002,"closes":1793073540,"closesText":"Oct 26, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,348","closesWorldDay":1348,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.","rules":"The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}