{"id":974,"slug":"villena-felix-balshaw-vs-joel-schwaerzler","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/villena-felix-balshaw-vs-joel-schwaerzler","q":"Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Felix Balshaw","p":0.605,"ref":0.545},{"name":"Joel Schwaerzler","p":0.395,"ref":0.455}],"chance":0.605,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-balshaw-schwaer-2026-10-05","ref":0.545,"b":1758,"state":[-883.442151,-1632.952606],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791284741,"closes":1791795600,"closesText":"Oct 12, 5 AM ET · World Day 993","closesWorldDay":993,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Joel Schwaerzler in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Joel Schwaerzler.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Felix Balshaw.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 7:05 AM ET · World Day 852","resolves":1791795600,"resolvesText":"Oct 12, 5 AM ET · World Day 993","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791284700,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.605,0.395]},{"at":1791284760,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.495,0.505]},{"at":1791285480,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.575,0.425]},{"at":1791285900,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.735,0.265]},{"at":1791286200,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.805,0.195]},{"at":1791286980,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.775,0.225]},{"at":1791288180,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.605,0.395]},{"at":1791288540,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.6,0.4]},{"at":1791289380,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.56,0.44]},{"at":1791290580,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.575,0.425]},{"at":1791291780,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.55,0.45]},{"at":1791292440,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.56,0.44]},{"at":1791292980,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.55,0.45]},{"at":1791293460,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.565,0.435]},{"at":1791294180,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.545,0.455]},{"at":1791294268,"p":[0.605,0.395],"r":[0.545,0.455]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Felix Balshaw","o":0,"mid":60.5,"bestBid":60,"bestAsk":61,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":61,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":22.57},{"price":62,"shares":74,"people":0,"house":74,"total":68.45},{"price":63,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":115.7},{"price":64,"shares":76,"people":0,"house":76,"total":164.34},{"price":65,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":214.39},{"price":66,"shares":78,"people":0,"house":78,"total":265.87}],"bids":[{"price":60,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":22.2},{"price":59,"shares":73,"people":0,"house":73,"total":65.27},{"price":58,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":107.03},{"price":57,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":148.07},{"price":56,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":188.39},{"price":55,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":227.44}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Joel Schwaerzler","o":1,"mid":39.5,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":40,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":40,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":14.8},{"price":41,"shares":73,"people":0,"house":73,"total":44.73},{"price":42,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":74.97},{"price":43,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":105.93},{"price":44,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":137.61},{"price":45,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":169.56}],"bids":[{"price":39,"shares":37,"people":0,"house":37,"total":14.43},{"price":38,"shares":74,"people":0,"house":74,"total":42.55},{"price":37,"shares":75,"people":0,"house":75,"total":70.3},{"price":36,"shares":76,"people":0,"house":76,"total":97.66},{"price":35,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":124.61},{"price":34,"shares":78,"people":0,"house":78,"total":151.13}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Felix Balshaw","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Joel Schwaerzler","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.8798,"ref":0.9576},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.1122,"ref":0.0314},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.006,"ref":0.01},{"name":"Other","p":0.0021,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8798,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2374,"trades":74,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9576,"b":2845,"state":[1494.392652,-4365.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":130,"slug":"lol-jd-gaming-vs-lgd-gaming-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-jd-gaming-vs-lgd-gaming-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group-stage","q":"LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - 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ESL Pro League Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Spirit","p":0.4978,"ref":0.46},{"name":"1WIN","p":0.5022,"ref":0.54}],"chance":0.4978,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":606,"trades":12,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-ts7-1win-2026-10-06","ref":0.46,"b":1098,"state":[-159.238298,-149.72359],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791261207,"closes":1791309600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}