{"id":1192,"slug":"villena-francesco-maestrelli-vs-oliver-tarvet","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/villena-francesco-maestrelli-vs-oliver-tarvet","q":"Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Francesco Maestrelli","p":0.245,"ref":0.355},{"name":"Oliver Tarvet","p":0.755,"ref":0.645}],"chance":0.245,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-maestre-tarvet-2026-10-06","ref":0.355,"b":1481,"state":[-2083.022158,-416.216582],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791304242,"closes":1791887400,"closesText":"Oct 13, 6:30 AM ET · World Day 1,019","closesWorldDay":1019,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Oliver Tarvet in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Oliver Tarvet.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Francesco Maestrelli.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 857","resolves":1791887400,"resolvesText":"Oct 13, 6:30 AM ET · World Day 1,019","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791304200,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.245,0.755]},{"at":1791304260,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.455,0.545]},{"at":1791305160,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.475,0.525]},{"at":1791305220,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.545,0.455]},{"at":1791306180,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.495,0.505]},{"at":1791306240,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.445,0.555]},{"at":1791307440,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.355,0.645]},{"at":1791307701,"p":[0.245,0.755],"r":[0.355,0.645]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Francesco 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}