{"id":1230,"slug":"villena-philip-henning-vs-maks-kasnikowski","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/villena-philip-henning-vs-maks-kasnikowski","q":"Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Philip Henning","p":0.445,"ref":0.785},{"name":"Maks Kasnikowski","p":0.555,"ref":0.215}],"chance":0.445,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-henning-kasniko-2026-10-06","ref":0.785,"b":1635,"state":[-1323.82843,-962.667015],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791306642,"closes":1791887400,"closesText":"Oct 13, 6:30 AM ET · World Day 1,019","closesWorldDay":1019,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Maks Kasnikowski.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Philip Henning.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 1:10 PM ET · World Day 858","resolves":1791887400,"resolvesText":"Oct 13, 6:30 AM ET · World Day 1,019","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791306600,"p":[0.445,0.555],"r":[0.445,0.555]},{"at":1791308520,"p":[0.445,0.555],"r":[0.76,0.24]},{"at":1791309840,"p":[0.445,0.555],"r":[0.775,0.225]},{"at":1791310320,"p":[0.445,0.555],"r":[0.785,0.215]},{"at":1791310744,"p":[0.445,0.555],"r":[0.785,0.215]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Philip Henning","o":0,"mid":44.5,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":45,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":45,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":14.85},{"price":46,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":45.21},{"price":47,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":76.23},{"price":48,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":107.43},{"price":49,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":139.77},{"price":50,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":172.27}],"bids":[{"price":44,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":14.52},{"price":43,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":43.33},{"price":42,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":71.47},{"price":41,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":98.94},{"price":40,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":126.14},{"price":39,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":152.66}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Maks Kasnikowski","o":1,"mid":55.5,"bestBid":55,"bestAsk":56,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":56,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":18.48},{"price":57,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":56.67},{"price":58,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":95.53},{"price":59,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":135.06},{"price":60,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":175.86},{"price":61,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":217.34}],"bids":[{"price":55,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":18.15},{"price":54,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":53.79},{"price":53,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":88.77},{"price":52,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":122.57},{"price":51,"shares":66,"people":0,"house":66,"total":156.23},{"price":50,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":188.73}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Philip Henning","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Maks Kasnikowski","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":884,"slug":"australia-a-tour-of-india-unofficial-odis-india-a-vs-australia-a","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/australia-a-tour-of-india-unofficial-odis-india-a-vs-australia-a","q":"Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"India A","p":0.0404,"ref":0.001},{"name":"Australia A","p":0.9596,"ref":0.999}],"chance":0.0404,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":7820,"trades":114,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/crint-inda-ausa-2026-10-06","ref":0.001,"b":1172,"state":[2075.777962,5787.066296],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276941,"closes":1791864000,"closesText":"Oct 13, 12 AM ET · World Day 1,012","closesWorldDay":1012,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.8723,"ref":0.9639},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.1215,"ref":0.0295},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0046,"ref":0.0055},{"name":"Other","p":0.0016,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8723,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":3180,"trades":103,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9639,"b":2845,"state":[2191.392652,-3416.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1177,"slug":"counter-strike-butterfly-vs-ex-rustec-bo3-cct-europe-series-10-group-stage","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/counter-strike-butterfly-vs-ex-rustec-bo3-cct-europe-series-10-group-stage","q":"Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}