{"id":1153,"slug":"which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-texas-senate-election","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-texas-senate-election","q":"Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Democrats","p":0.5,"ref":0.1687},{"name":"Republicans","p":0.5,"ref":0.8313}],"chance":0.5,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-texas-senate","ref":0.1687,"b":1000,"state":[-693.147181,-693.147181],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791301122,"closes":1794009540,"closesText":"Nov 6, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 1,608","closesWorldDay":1608,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.","rules":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.\n\nIn the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIn the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.\n\nIn the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.\n\nIf none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 11:38 AM ET · World Day 856","resolves":1794009540,"resolvesText":"Nov 6, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 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election?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gadi Eizenkot","p":0.5168,"ref":0.5071},{"name":"Benjamin Netanyahu","p":0.3438,"ref":0.3755},{"name":"Naftali Bennett","p":0.1015,"ref":0.0899},{"name":"Avigdor Lieberman","p":0.0162,"ref":0.0159},{"name":"Ofer Winter","p":0.005,"ref":0.0058},{"name":"Itamar Ben Gvir","p":0.0045,"ref":0.0048},{"name":"Other","p":0.0122,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.5168,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1052,"trades":28,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","ref":0.5071,"b":8067.5,"state":[-4272.562251,-7559.754031,-17400.239172,-32205.99014,-41771.009063,-42539.923939,-34526.86526],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1793159940,"closesText":"Oct 27, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}