{"id":1552,"slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","q":"Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.032,"ref":0.032},{"name":"No","p":0.968,"ref":0.968}],"chance":0.032,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","ref":0.032,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1296,"state":[-4460.857112,-42.150056],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349002,"closes":1830315540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Will Abstract launch a token by ___?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 12:56 AM ET · World Day 869","resolves":1830315540,"resolvesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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FDV above $200M one day after launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0285,"ref":0.028},{"name":"No","p":0.9715,"ref":0.972}],"chance":0.0285,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/abstract-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.028,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2671,"state":[-9503.020533,-77.229321],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791351410,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1531,"slug":"abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/abstract-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Abstract FDV above $400M one day after 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launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.204,"ref":0.2035},{"name":"No","p":0.796,"ref":0.7965}],"chance":0.204,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/predictfun-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.2035,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3117,"state":[-4954.893184,-711.162542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791344202,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":707,"slug":"will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-predict-fun-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.805,"ref":0.79},{"name":"No","p":0.195,"ref":0.21}],"chance":0.805,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by","ref":0.79,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2554,"state":[-553.995806,-4175.16611],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791262407,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":585,"slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/predict-fun-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","q":"Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after 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launch?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.9165,"ref":0.9615},{"name":"No","p":0.0835,"ref":0.0385}],"chance":0.9165,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","ref":0.9615,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3745,"state":[-326.538578,-9298.492883],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791254006,"closes":1830315600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}