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However, instead of focusing on the papers, it focuses a bit more on the practicality aspect by considering a mixture of the most commonly used models and the SOTA models at the end of 2026.\n\nI am including both Adam and close variants (e.g. AdamW).\n\nI will sample a mixture of open source best models in 2026. Not participating in this market in case judgement is required.\n\nIf training details are not provided, can reach out to the creators of the models, if they decline, we move on and pick the next best thing\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/vluzko/by-2027-will-adam-be-replaced-by-a?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 5:57 PM ET · World Day 838","resolves":1799019000,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:30 PM ET · World Day 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}