{"id":1150,"slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-anthropic-ipo-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.855,"ref":0.845},{"name":"No","p":0.145,"ref":0.155}],"chance":0.855,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by","ref":0.845,"b":4021,"state":[-629.90497,-7764.637599],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791300642,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Anthropic IPO by __?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 11:30 AM ET · World Day 856","resolves":1798779540,"resolvesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791300600,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.855,0.145]},{"at":1791302940,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.845,0.155]},{"at":1791303864,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.845,0.155]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":85.5,"bestBid":85,"bestAsk":86,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":86,"shares":165,"people":0,"house":165,"total":141.9},{"price":87,"shares":344,"people":0,"house":344,"total":441.18},{"price":88,"shares":368,"people":0,"house":368,"total":765.02},{"price":89,"shares":395,"people":0,"house":395,"total":1116.57},{"price":90,"shares":428,"people":0,"house":428,"total":1501.77},{"price":91,"shares":468,"people":0,"house":468,"total":1927.65}],"bids":[{"price":85,"shares":160,"people":0,"house":160,"total":136},{"price":84,"shares":307,"people":0,"house":307,"total":393.88},{"price":83,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":636.24},{"price":82,"shares":278,"people":0,"house":278,"total":864.2},{"price":81,"shares":267,"people":0,"house":267,"total":1080.47},{"price":80,"shares":256,"people":0,"house":256,"total":1285.27}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":14.5,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":15,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":15,"shares":160,"people":0,"house":160,"total":24},{"price":16,"shares":307,"people":0,"house":307,"total":73.12},{"price":17,"shares":292,"people":0,"house":292,"total":122.76},{"price":18,"shares":278,"people":0,"house":278,"total":172.8},{"price":19,"shares":267,"people":0,"house":267,"total":223.53},{"price":20,"shares":256,"people":0,"house":256,"total":274.73}],"bids":[{"price":14,"shares":165,"people":0,"house":165,"total":23.1},{"price":13,"shares":344,"people":0,"house":344,"total":67.82},{"price":12,"shares":368,"people":0,"house":368,"total":111.98},{"price":11,"shares":395,"people":0,"house":395,"total":155.43},{"price":10,"shares":428,"people":0,"house":428,"total":198.23},{"price":9,"shares":468,"people":0,"house":468,"total":240.35}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":143,"slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-30-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-30-2026","q":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.68,"ref":0.655},{"name":"No","p":0.32,"ref":0.345}],"chance":0.68,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by","ref":0.655,"b":3049,"state":[-1175.884904,-3474.135129],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1796101140,"closesText":"Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,189","closesWorldDay":2189,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":72,"slug":"gemini-4-0-released-by-october-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/gemini-4-0-released-by-october-31-2026","q":"Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.8586,"ref":0.93},{"name":"No","p":0.1414,"ref":0.07}],"chance":0.8586,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":3781,"trades":91,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026","ref":0.93,"b":2754,"state":[3360.848342,-1606.969143],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1793505540,"closesText":"Oct 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":49,"slug":"will-indiana-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-indiana-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028","q":"Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2235,"ref":0.145},{"name":"No","p":0.7765,"ref":0.855}],"chance":0.2235,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1572,"trades":31,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/indiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929","ref":0.145,"b":3495,"state":[-3664.92027,688.494934],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1861937940,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 20,477","closesWorldDay":20477,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":257,"slug":"which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","q":"Which company has the best AI model end of October?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Google","p":0.6529,"ref":0.6775},{"name":"Anthropic","p":0.3191,"ref":0.3095},{"name":"OpenAI","p":0.0128,"ref":0.0085},{"name":"Meta","p":0.0059,"ref":0.0035},{"name":"Other","p":0.0093,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.6529,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","ref":0.6775,"b":5530,"state":[-2357.434548,-6316.703625,-24117.086936,-28392.827018,-25851.613237],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791236005,"closes":1793462400,"closesText":"Oct 31, 12 PM ET · World Day 1,456","closesWorldDay":1456,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1054,"slug":"next-gemini-pro-model-released-on","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/next-gemini-pro-model-released-on","q":"Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"No release by October 31","p":0.6698,"ref":0.7783},{"name":"October 6","p":0.0836,"ref":0.0441},{"name":"October 20","p":0.0346,"ref":0.0424},{"name":"October 25","p":0.0294,"ref":0.0287},{"name":"October 10","p":0.0252,"ref":0.0238},{"name":"October 23","p":0.0252,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"October 13","p":0.0222,"ref":0.0248},{"name":"October 17","p":0.009,"ref":0.01},{"name":"October 8","p":0.0085,"ref":0.0091},{"name":"October 27","p":0.0085,"ref":0.0095},{"name":"Other","p":0.084,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.6698,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260922131618444","ref":0.7783,"b":2888.75,"state":[-1157.76262,-7168.431656,-9721.120382,-10184.310213,-10636.599087,-10636.599087,-11001.430086,-13620.721186,-13761.663773,-13761.663773,-7153.730606],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791292061,"closes":1793491140,"closesText":"Oct 31, 7:59 PM ET · World Day 1,464","closesWorldDay":1464,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":982,"slug":"will-openai-announce-another-millennium-prize-solution-by-december-31-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-openai-announce-another-millennium-prize-solution-by-december-31-2027","q":"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai","openai"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.635,"ref":0.635},{"name":"No","p":0.365,"ref":0.365}],"chance":0.635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","ref":0.635,"b":3024,"state":[-1373.289967,-3047.762366],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791286541,"closes":1830315540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 11,693","closesWorldDay":11693,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}